The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
CF Montréal 34.3%
Draw 24.8%
Cincinnati 40.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.9%
23.7%
37.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.5%
24.6%
38.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
5.6%
5.6%
88.9%
CF Montréal - Cincinnati Predictions
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Montreal will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 16 - 88.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Cincinnati: 74.4% – 100%.
1. Breza S. (G) 2. Neal J. 3. Ceballos B. 13. Petrasso L. 5. Craig B. 8. Longstaff M. 22. Loturi V. 27. Bugaj D. 10. Sanchez A. 9. Owusu P. (C) 14. Rios D.
18. Celentano R. (G) 4. Hagglund N. 11. Gidi S. 15. Hadebe T. 17. Mboma K. 22. Valenzuela G. 10. Evander (C) 5. Nwobodo O. 29. Ramirez Leon B. J. 99. Jabbari A. 16. Barlow T.
Substitutes
25. Amaya F. 33. Gazdov E. (G) 31. Gillier T. (G) 21. Herbers F. 26. Losenko I.
27. Anunga T. 19. Chirila S. 23. Doudera D. 14. Fletcher K. 13. Louro E. (G) 6. Malatini J. 2. Powell A. 50. Samson F. 24. Smith K.
Coaches
Eullaffroy P.
Noonan P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Ceballos B. ↓, Herbers F. ↑,
25', 1 - 0, Rios D. ⚽,
33', Longstaff M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', Herbers F. 🟨,
58', Jabbari A. ↓, Doudera D. ↑,
65', 1 - 1, Barlow T. ⚽, Valenzuela G. (A),
71', Celentano R. 🟨,
72', 2 - 1, Owusu P. (Penalty Awarded),
75', 3 - 1, Owusu P. ⚽, Rios D. (A),
77', Nwobodo O. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
77', Ramirez Leon B. J. ↓, Fletcher K. ↑,
86', Hagglund N. ↓, Powell A. ↑,
86', Gidi S. ↓, Anunga T. ↑,
86', Hadebe T. 🟨,
87', Owusu P. ↓, Amaya F. ↑,
Preview
A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 15th and 9th in the Promotion ~ MLS Playoffs1/16~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 1.
Both teams have struggled for positive results in recent outings.
Montreal may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Confirmed absences for Montreal: Carmona W.
(International duty)
Escobar O.
(International duty)
Hidalgo B.
(Groin Injury)
Morales E.
(International duty)
Pereira D.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Piette S.
(Yellow Cards)
Sealy D.
(International duty).
Confirmed absences for Cincinnati: Bucha P.
(International duty)
Denkey K.
(International duty)
Robinson M.
(International duty).
Doubtful / questionable for Montreal: Amaya F.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Gillier T.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Vera B.
(Lower-Body Injury).
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Montreal has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:34 (averaging 1.6:2.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Montreal against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 14:15 goals (averaging 2:2.1 per game).
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Breza S. (G) 
Neal J. 
Ceballos B. 
Longstaff M. 
Bugaj D. 
Sanchez A. 
Owusu P. (C) 
Rios D. 
Gidi S. 
Hadebe T. 
Mboma K. 
Evander (C) 
Nwobodo O. 
Ramirez Leon B. J. 
Jabbari A. 
Herbers F. 
Losenko I. 
Anunga T. 
Chirila S. 
Doudera D. 
Malatini J. 
Powell A. 
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