The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
CF Montréal 38.9%
Draw 27.7%
Philadelphia Union 33.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39%
26.3%
34.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.4%
25.2%
36.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Philadelphia Union has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
22.2%
11.1%
CF Montréal - Philadelphia Union Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Montreal will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Philadelphia will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Montreal: 35.9% – 97.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Gillier T. (G) 27. Bugaj D. 24. Morales E. 4. Vera B. 13. Petrasso L. 22. Loturi V. 8. Longstaff M. 17. Thorhallsson D. 16. Carmona W. 10. Ivan Jaime 9. Owusu P. (C)
18. Blake A. (C) 26. Harriel N. 5. Sery Larsen J. 29. Makhanya O. 39. Westfield F. 16. Bender B. 8. Bueno J. 4. Lukic J. 19. Vassilev I. 10. Iloski M. 9. Damiani B.
Substitutes
3. Aviles T. 1. Breza S. (G) 5. Craig B. 29. Escobar O. 21. Herbers F. 7. Opoku M. 6. Piette S. 14. Rios D. 18. Synchuk G.
23. Alladoh E. 11. Bedoya A. 51. Jakupovic M. 2. Martinez G. 20. Ndinga P. 14. Rafanello J. 76. Rick A. (G) 6. Sullivan C. 66. Sundstrom F.
Coaches
Donadel M.
Carnell B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Gillier T. 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Ivan Jaime ⚽, Morales E. (A),
37', Owusu P. 🟨,
37', Carmona W. ↓, Herbers F. ↑,
43', Loturi V. 🟨,
45+6', Sery Larsen J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', 1 - 1, Sery Larsen J. ⚽, Iloski M. (A),
59', Makhanya O. 🟨,
65', Bender B. ↓, Alladoh E. ↑,
70', Thorhallsson D. ↓, Synchuk G. ↑,
70', Morales E. ↓, Aviles T. ↑,
70', 1 - 2, Bueno J. ⚽, Alladoh E. (A),
81', Iloski M. ↓, Bedoya A. ↑,
81', Sery Larsen J. ↓, Ndinga P. ↑,
82', Loturi V. ↓, Escobar O. ↑,
82', Herbers F. ↓, Opoku M. ↑,
85', Damiani B. 🟨,
88', Vassilev I. ↓, Sullivan C. ↑,
90+6', Lukic J. 🟨,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 1.
Recent form of Montreal has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Philadelphia is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Recently, Montreal has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Montreal: Hidalgo B.
(Inactive)
Ibrahim S.
(Back Injury)
Vera B.
(Injury)
There will not play in Philadelphia: Anello A.
(Muscle Injury)
Sullivan Q.
(Leg Injury)
There are questionable in Montreal: Herbers F.
(Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Philadelphia: Davis III E.
(Thigh Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 30:34. (average 1.5:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Montreal won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 1.9:1.8).
Outrights of MLS for now
Philadelphia Union: 2.36% CF Montreal: 0.53%
Last Results with these Odds
Philadelphia Union - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 34.67%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
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Gillier T. (G) 
Bugaj D. 
Morales E. 
Vera B. 
Petrasso L. 
Longstaff M. 
Thorhallsson D. 
Carmona W. 
Ivan Jaime 
Owusu P. (C) 
Blake A. (C) 
Harriel N. 
Sery Larsen J. 
Makhanya O. 
Lukic J. 
Damiani B. 
Aviles T. 
Escobar O. 
Herbers F. 
Rios D. 
Synchuk G. 
Ndinga P. 
Donadel M. 
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