Match Info

BRAZIL: Copa do Brasil - 1/8-finals

Date: 31 July 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Rei Pelé (Maceió)

Referee: Claus R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Amazon Prime Video


	CRB Maceio		Atlético Mineiro

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.4	1.8
	4.6	3.1	1.73
	4.75	3.3	1.8
	5.15	3.25	1.85
	4.46	3.23	1.88	Watch
	4.6	3.25	1.73
	4.82	3.36	1.83
	4.7	3.25	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.73 ↑ (4.1)	3.27 ↓ (3.3)	1.8 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CRB Maceio
19.7%

Draw
28.5%

Atlético Mineiro
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.8%

27.1%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

28.5%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CRB Maceio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

CRB Maceio - Atlético Mineiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. CRB will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Atlético MG will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Matheus Albino (G) 32. Hereda 26. Gustavo Henrique 4. Saimon 13. Willian Formiga 33. Joao Pedro 98. Falcao 38. Leo Pereira 8. Gege 6. Caio Cesar 9. Anselmo Ramon (C)	31. Matheus Mendes (G) 3. Bruno Fuchs 2. Lyanco 8. Alonso J. 6. Gustavo Scarpa 5. Otavio 23. Franco A. 13. Guilherme Arana 20. Bernard 7. Hulk (C) 10. Paulinho
Substitutes
14. Chay 34. Darlisson 23. Fabio (G) 35. Joao Neto 11. Jorge 30. Labandeira F. 2. Matheus Ribeiro 7. Mike 17. Romulo 66. Ryan Carlos 1. Vitor Caetano (G) 37. Wanderson	21. Battaglia R. 42. Cadu 11. Eduardo Vargas 1. Gabriel Delfim (G) 17. Igor Gomes 16. Igor Rabello 25. Mariano 30. Palacios Alzate B. 27. Paulo Vitor 26. Renzo Saravia 44. Rubens 15. Zaracho M.
Coaches
Daniel Paulista	Milito G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Willian Formiga ⚽, Gege (A),
7', 2 - 0, Leo Pereira ⚽,
16', Hulk ↓, Eduardo Vargas ↑,
24', Lyanco 🟨,
27', Caio Cesar 🟨,
41', 2 - 1, Paulinho (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Lyanco ↓, Renzo Saravia ↑,
46', Caio Cesar ↓, Romulo ↑,
54', 2 - 2, Gustavo Scarpa ⚽, Guilherme Arana (A),
55', Willian Formiga 🟥,
56', Gustavo Scarpa 🟨,
59', Anselmo Ramon ↓, Ryan Carlos ↑,
67', Gege ↓, Chay ↑,
67', Falcao ↓, Labandeira F. ↑,
73', Franco A. ↓, Zaracho M. ↑,
73', Gustavo Scarpa ↓, Palacios Alzate B. ↑,
81', Paulinho ↓, Cadu ↑,
90+1', Leo Pereira ↓, Matheus Ribeiro ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

CRB could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently CRB have a series of home games.

In this match Atlético MG is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CRB Maceio
Brazilian Serie B
28.07.24	CRB Maceio - Santos	1:1 ✺
25.07.24	Goiás - CRB Maceio	1:1 ✺
20.07.24	CRB Maceio - Ituano	1:0 ✺
17.07.24	CRB Maceio - Botafogo SP	4:1 ✺
13.07.24	CRB Maceio - Coritiba	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TTWWW
- Atlético Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A
28.07.24	Atlético Mineiro - Corinthians	2:1 ✺
21.07.24	Atlético Mineiro - Vasco da Gama	2:0 ✺
16.07.24	Juventude - Atlético Mineiro	1:1 ✺
11.07.24	Atlético Mineiro - São Paulo	2:1 ✺
07.07.24	Botafogo RJ - Atlético Mineiro	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWTWL

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