Match Info

Date: 24 October 2022, Monday

Location: Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca (Ascoli Piceno)

Referee: Aureliano G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Greece	Nova Sports
Italy	Sky Sport
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Ascoli		Cagliari

	1	X	2
	2.87	3	2.6	Watch
	2.7	2.95	2.75
	2.85	3	2.6
	2.75	2.85	2.75
	2.99	3.01	2.77
	2.8	2.88	2.75
	2.78	2.97	2.74	Watch
	2.7	2.95	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↓ (2.87)	2.95 ↓ (3.03)	2.71 ↑ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

Watch this match and Italian Serie B with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX Soccer Plus

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Current Win Probability

Ascoli
33.5%

Draw
31.9%

Cagliari
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

30.2%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

29.1%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Cagliari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cagliari than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.9%	53.5%	25.6%

Ascoli - Cagliari Predictions

Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Ascoli will win (votes: 9 - 20.9%). Cagliari will win (votes: 11 - 25.6%). It will Tie (votes: 23 - 53.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 38.6% – 68.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 and 9).

Ascoli has the most likely position - 11 (6.76%), has project points - 51, has currently - 12, has a small chance of relegated (14%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (31%), has a small chance of promoted (9%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Cagliari has the most likely position - 2 (10.9%), has project points - 61, has currently - 14, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (51%), has a chance of promoted (31%), has a small chance of win league (10%).

This event has quality 37, importance 34, match rating 36. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ascoli won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Ascoli won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ascoli Calcio
Coppa Italia
20.10.22	Sampdoria - Ascoli	3:2 penalties ✺
Italian Serie B
15.10.22	Bari - Ascoli	0:2 ✺
08.10.22	Ascoli - Modena	1:2 ✺
02.10.22	Benevento - Ascoli	1:1 ✺
17.09.22	Ascoli - Parma	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWLTL
- Cagliari Calcio
Coppa Italia
20.10.22	Bologna - Cagliari	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie B
15.10.22	Cagliari - Brescia	2:1 ✺
07.10.22	Genoa - Cagliari	0:0 ✺
01.10.22	Cagliari - Venezia	1:4 ✺
17.09.22	Cagliari - Bari	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
09.04.16	Ascoli - Cagliari	2:1
23.11.15	Cagliari - Ascoli	3:0

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