Match Info

League Two - Round 45

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Abbey Stadium (Cambridge)

Referee: Parkinson S. (Eng)


	Cambridge United		Barrow

	1	X	2
	1.3	4.5	11
	1.32	4.45	11
	1.33	5.05	10.25
	1.36	4.29	9.68	Watch
	1.33	4.5	9.5
	1.33	4.47	10.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.37)	4.54 ↑ (4.22)	10.39 ↑ (9.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cambridge United
70.4%

Draw
20.6%

Barrow
9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.8%

22%

10.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8%

21.1%

9.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cambridge United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Barrow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Cambridge United - Barrow Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cambridge (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Cambridge United will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Eastwood J. (G) 26. Gibbons J. 23. Jobe M. 6. Watts K. 2. Bennett L. 4. Ball D. (C) 17. Mpanzu P. 15. Mayor A. 14. Knight B. 11. Kaikai S. 9. Appere L.	1. Stanway W. (G) 2. MacDonald A. 5. Raglan C. 4. Williams M. (C) 14. McCann C. 26. Thompson J. 45. Harper R. 8. Smith S. 22. Anderson J. 25. Gordon J. 15. Hemmings K.
Substitutes
7. Brophy J. 25. Hughes B. (G) 10. Kachunga E. 5. Morrison M. 24. Nevitt E. 3. Purrington B. 8. Smith K.	20. Fletcher I. 19. Malcolm J. 11. Newby E. 33. Rose D. 34. Whitfield B. 31. Winterbottom B. (G)
Coaches
Harris N.	Foley S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', Kaikai S. ↓, Brophy J. ↑,
34', 1 - 0, Knight B. ⚽, Bennett L. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', Williams M. 🟨,
57', 2 - 0, Gibbons J. ⚽, Ball D. (A),
60', Hemmings K. ↓, Rose D. ↑,
60', McCann C. ↓, Whitfield B. ↑,
61', Smith S. ↓, Fletcher I. ↑,
61', Anderson J. ↓, Newby E. ↑,
70', Watts K. ↓, Morrison M. ↑,
70', Appere L. ↓, Nevitt E. ↑,
74', Stanway W. 🟨,
74', 3 - 0, Stanway W. (Own goal),
83', Gordon J. ↓, Malcolm J. ↑,
84', Mayor A. ↓, Purrington B. ↑,
85', Knight B. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
90+4', Thompson J. 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cambridge won 4.

Cambridge has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Barrow is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Cambridge is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Cambridge: Bradshaw Z. (Injury) Kouassi K. (Inactive) Raggett S. (Inactive)

There will not play in Barrow: Anderson F. (Injury) Canavan N. (Inactive) Earing J. (Inactive) Walker T. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Cambridge: Lavery S. (Inactive) McLoughlin S. (Inactive)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Cambridge won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:3. (average 1.4:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Cambridge won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cambridge United
English League Two
21.04.26	Cambridge United - Grimsby Town	1:2 ✺
16.04.26	Bromley - Cambridge United	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Cambridge United - Notts County	4:0 ✺
06.04.26	Cheltenham Town - Cambridge United	1:1 ✺
02.04.26	Cambridge United - Swindon Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTWTT
- Barrow
English League Two
18.04.26	Barrow - Walsall	1:3 ✺
14.04.26	Barrow - Oldham Athletic	3:2 ✺
11.04.26	Barnet - Barrow	3:2 ✺
06.04.26	Barrow - Chesterfield	0:1 ✺
03.04.26	Milton Keynes Dons - Barrow	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
22.11.25	Barrow - Cambridge United	0:2
06.02.21	Barrow - Cambridge United	0:2
14.11.20	Cambridge United - Barrow	1:1
English National League
13.04.13	Cambridge United - Barrow	2:1
29.09.12	Barrow - Cambridge United	1:4
14.04.12	Barrow - Cambridge United	N/A

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