Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 31

Date: 8 February 2025, Saturday

Location: LNER stadium (Lincoln)

Referee: Copeland S. (Eng)


	Lincoln City		Cambridge United

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.2	4.75	Watch
	1.85	3.3	4.4
	1.87	3.4	4.33	Watch
	1.9	3.4	4.71
	1.84	3.31	4.56	Watch
	1.85	3.3	4.4
	1.86	3.48	4.39	Watch
	1.87	3.4	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.66)	3.35 ↓ (3.73)	4.48 ↓ (5.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lincoln City
50.8%

Draw
28.2%

Cambridge United
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

25.2%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

24.1%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lincoln City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lincoln City's form might have worsened.

Cambridge United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lincoln City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	9.1%	0%

Lincoln City - Cambridge United Predictions

Users Predictions: Lincoln City will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Jeacock Z. (G) 5. Jackson A. 15. O'Connor P. (C) 23. Roughan S. 14. McGrandles C. 2. Darikwa T. 8. Bayliss T. 11. Hamilton E. 7. Hackett-Fairchild R. 34. Draper F. 25. Collins J.	13. Bishop N. (G) 15. Okedina J. 5. Morrison M. (C) 6. Watts K. 26. Gibbons J. 24. Cousins J. 7. Brophy J. 3. Andrew D. 10. Kachunga E. 22. Stokes J. 18. Loft R.
Substitutes
17. Clucas S. 32. Gardner J. 18. House B. 16. Jefferies D. 27. Makama J. 4. Montsma L. 1. Wickens G. (G)	29. Ballard D. 36. Barton D. 2. Bennett L. 4. Digby P. 45. Emmanuel M. L. 1. Stevens J. (G) 28. Stevenson B.
Coaches
Skubala M.	Monk G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Draper F. ⚽,
35', Roughan S. 🟨,
42', 1 - 1, Gibbons J. ⚽, Cousins J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
67', Draper F. ↓, Makama J. ↑,
69', Kachunga E. ↓, Ballard D. ↑,
78', Darikwa T. ↓, Jefferies D. ↑,
78', Hamilton E. ↓, House B. ↑,
79', Loft R. ↓, Stevenson B. ↑,
81', McGrandles C. 🟨,
82', Collins J. ↓, Gardner J. ↑,
84', Jackson A. 🟨,
85', Gibbons J. ↓, Digby P. ↑,
86', Gardner J. 🟥,
87', House B. 🟨,
90+3', Okedina J. 🟨,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lincoln won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Lincoln is a favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Lincoln won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 20:7 (average 1.3:0.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Lincoln won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:2 (average 1:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lincoln City
English League One
01.02.25	Wigan Athletic - Lincoln City	1:1 ✺
28.01.25	Lincoln City - Blackpool	0:2 ✺
25.01.25	Lincoln City - Peterborough United	5:1 ✺
18.01.25	Northampton Town - Lincoln City	0:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
14.01.25	Lincoln City - Bolton Wanderers	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLWWL
- Cambridge United
English League One
01.02.25	Cambridge United - Wycombe Wanderers	1:1 ✺
28.01.25	Rotherham United - Cambridge United	2:1 ✺
25.01.25	Cambridge United - Mansfield Town	3:2 ✺
18.01.25	Bolton Wanderers - Cambridge United	2:2 ✺
04.01.25	Cambridge United - Bristol Rovers	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
28.09.24	Cambridge United - Lincoln City	0:2
12.03.24	Lincoln City - Cambridge United	6:0
28.11.23	Cambridge United - Lincoln City	0:3
28.01.23	Lincoln City - Cambridge United	0:0
03.09.22	Cambridge United - Lincoln City	2:0
15.01.22	Lincoln City - Cambridge United	0:1
11.09.21	Cambridge United - Lincoln City	1:5

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