Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EREDIVISIE - ROUND 20

Date: 5 February 2023, Sunday

Location: Cambuur Stadion (Leeuwarden)

Referee: van den Kerkhof M. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Greece	Nova Sports
Malaysia	Astro
Netherlands	ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV
Romania	Sport Extra
Slovakia	Arena sport 1
Slovenia	Sport TV


	Cambuur		Ajax

	1	X	2
	12	6	1.25	Watch
	11	6.25	1.25
	11.5	6.5	1.23
	9.2	5.6	1.26
	12.17	6.36	1.25
	12	5.8	1.22	Watch
	11.25	6.35	1.24	Watch
	11	6.4	1.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	11.27 ↑ (8.95)	6.16 ↑ (5.39)	1.25 ↓ (1.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cambuur
8.4%

Draw
15.4%

Ajax
76.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.4%

17.3%

72.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cambuur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.1%	13%	60.9%

Cambuur - Ajax Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Cambuur will win (votes: 6 - 26.1%). Ajax will win (votes: 14 - 60.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ajax: 41% – 80.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs)).

Cambuur has the most likely position - 18 (51.94%), has project points - 24, has currently - 12, has a good chance of relegated (88%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Ajax has the most likely position - 2 (30.95%), has project points - 69, has currently - 37, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of qualify for ucl (57%), has a chance of win league (26%).

This event has quality 48, importance 60, match rating 54. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cambuur won 1.

Cambuur is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ajax is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ajax could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ajax is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Cambuur won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 9-33.

Including matches at home between the teams Cambuur won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leeuwarden Cambuur
Dutch Eredivisie
29.01.23	Cambuur - Fortuna Sittard	1:2 ✺
26.01.23	Groningen - Cambuur	0:1 ✺
21.01.23	Cambuur - Sparta Rotterdam	0:3 ✺
15.01.23	Emmen - Cambuur	0:0 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
11.01.23	De Treffers - Cambuur	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWLTL
- Ajax Amsterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
29.01.23	Excelsior - Ajax	1:4 ✺
26.01.23	Ajax - Volendam	1:1 ✺
22.01.23	Feyenoord - Ajax	1:1 ✺
14.01.23	Ajax - Twente	0:0 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
11.01.23	Den Bosch - Ajax	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
03.09.22	Ajax - Cambuur	4:0
11.03.22	Cambuur - Ajax	2:3
18.09.21	Ajax - Cambuur	9:0
Dutch KNVB Beker
15.12.16	Cambuur - Ajax	2:1
Dutch Eredivisie
09.04.16	Cambuur - Ajax	0:1
21.11.15	Ajax - Cambuur	5:1
10.05.15	Ajax - Cambuur	3:0

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