Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 28

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday

Location: De Kuip (Rotterdam)

Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
Albania	SuperSport 4
Argentina	Disney+
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	Feyenoord		Ajax

	1	X	2
	1.91	4.1	3.5	Watch
	1.9	3.9	3.6
	1.95	3.95	3.55
	1.93	4.05	3.69
	1.89	4.12	3.57	Watch
	1.85	3.75	3.4
	1.91	4.07	3.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.78)	3.99 ↑ (3.85)	3.57 ↓ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Feyenoord
49.7%

Draw
23.7%

Ajax
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

23.9%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

23.5%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Feyenoord has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Feyenoord than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72%	24%	4%

Feyenoord - Ajax Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Feyenoord will win (votes: 18 - 72%). Ajax will win (votes: 1 - 4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 24%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Feyenoord: 54.4% – 89.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Feyenoord (2.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Feyenoord will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Feyenoord (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Wellenreuther T. (C) 30. Lotomba J. 4. Watanabe T. 21. Ahmedhodzic A. 15. Bos J. 7. Moder J. 28. Targhalline O. 10. Valente L. 23. Hadj Moussa A. 9. Ueda A. 19. Sterling R.	26. Paes M. (G) 2. Rosa L. 37. Sutalo J. 15. Baas Y. 32. Tomiyasu T. 18. Klaassen D. (C) 24. Mokio J. 48. Steur S. 23. Berghuis S. 25. Weghorst W. 11. Godts M.
Substitutes
72. Agboluaje H. 13. Benda S. (G) 11. Borges G. 39. Bossin L. (G) 27. Diarra G. 24. Kraaijeveld T. 16. Sauer L. 32. Sliti A. 17. Tengstedt C. 44. van den Elshout T.	43. Bounida R. 30. Bouwman A. 7. Carrizo M. 9. Dolberg K. 28. Fitz-Jim K. 3. Gaaei A. 10. Gloukh O. 12. Heerkens J. (G) 19. Konadu D. 52. Reverson P. (G) 53. van der Lans M. 5. Wijndal O.
Coaches
van Persie R.	Garcia O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 0 - 1, Steur S. ⚽,
55', Sterling R. ↓, Sauer L. ↑,
55', Berghuis S. ↓, Dolberg K. ↑,
55', Weghorst W. ↓, Bounida R. ↑,
60', Baas Y. 🟨,
68', Steur S. ↓, Fitz-Jim K. ↑,
73', Tomiyasu T. ↓, Wijndal O. ↑,
73', Hadj Moussa A. 🟨,
79', Bounida R. 🟨,
84', Rosa L. 🟨,
84', 1 - 1, Moder J. (Penalty Awarded),
85', Lotomba J. ↓, van den Elshout T. ↑,
89', Ueda A. ↓, Tengstedt C. ↑,
89', Targhalline O. ↓, Kraaijeveld T. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Feyenoord won 2.

Feyenoord is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Ajax has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ajax may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Feyenoord might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Feyenoord won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 27:41. (average 1.4:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Feyenoord won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:20. (average 1.6:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Feyenoord	8	6	2	0	27:7	20	20
5	Ajax	8	4	3	1	22:10	12	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Feyenoord
Dutch Eredivisie
15.03.26	Feyenoord - Excelsior	2:1 ✺
08.03.26	NAC Breda - Feyenoord	3:3 ✺
01.03.26	Twente - Feyenoord	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Feyenoord - Telstar	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Feyenoord - Go Ahead Eagles	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WTLWW
- Ajax Amsterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
14.03.26	Ajax - Sparta Rotterdam	4:0 ✺
07.03.26	Groningen - Ajax	3:1 ✺
01.03.26	Zwolle - Ajax	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Ajax - NEC Nijmegen	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Ajax - Fortuna Sittard	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
14.12.25	Ajax - Feyenoord	2:0
02.02.25	Ajax - Feyenoord	2:1
30.10.24	Feyenoord - Ajax	0:2
07.04.24	Feyenoord - Ajax	6:0
27.09.23	Ajax - Feyenoord	0:4
Dutch KNVB Beker
05.04.23	Feyenoord - Ajax	1:2
Dutch Eredivisie
19.03.23	Ajax - Feyenoord	2:3

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