Match Info

Eredivisie - Round 28

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: De Kuip (Rotterdam) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
Albania	14:30	SuperSport 4
Argentina	10:30	Disney+
Australia	00:30	ESPN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports
Austria	14:30	DAZN
Belgium	14:30	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3
Brazil	10:30	Disney+
Bulgaria	15:30	Ring, Voyo
Canada	09:30	Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World
Croatia	14:30	SportKlub 1
Cyprus	15:30	Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
Europe	—	Go3 Sport 2 Baltic
France	14:30	DAZN France
Georgia	17:30	Silk Universal
Germany	14:30	DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	15:30	Nova Sports Prime
Haiti	09:30	Tele Haiti
Hong Kong	21:30	myTV SUPER
Indonesia	20:30	Kompas TV, Vidio
Israel	15:30	Sport 4
Italy	14:30	Como TV
Kazakhstan	19:30	Setanta Sports
Kenya	16:30	Gotv
Mexico	07:30	Disney+, ESPN 3
Netherlands	14:30	Canal+, ESPN 2
New Zealand	02:30	ESPN
Nigeria	14:30	SupeSport ESPN 1
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
Peru	08:30	Disney+
Poland	14:30	Polsat Sport Extra 1
Portugal	13:30	DAZN 4, DAZN / App
Romania	15:30	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Serbia	14:30	Arena Sport 6
Slovakia	14:30	Arena sport 1
Slovenia	14:30	Sport TV3
South Africa	15:30	SupeSport ESPN
Spain	14:30	GolStadium
Switzerland	14:30	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	16:30	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor
Ukraine	15:30	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
United Kingdom	13:30	Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	10:30	Disney+
Usa	09:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	09:30	Disney+
International	13:30	Onefootball, Triller TV+


	Feyenoord		Ajax

	1	X	2
	1.91	4.1	3.5	Watch
	1.9	3.9	3.6
	1.95	3.95	3.55
	1.93	4.05	3.69
	1.89	4.12	3.57	Watch
	1.85	3.75	3.4
	1.91	4.07	3.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.78)	3.99 ↑ (3.85)	3.57 ↓ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Feyenoord
49.7%

Draw
23.7%

Ajax
26.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.8%

23.9%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

23.5%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Feyenoord has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Feyenoord than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72%	24%	4%

Feyenoord - Ajax Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Feyenoord will win (votes: 18 - 72%). Ajax will win (votes: 1 - 4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 24%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Feyenoord: 54.4% – 89.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Feyenoord (2.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Feyenoord will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Feyenoord (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Wellenreuther T. (C) 30. Lotomba J. 4. Watanabe T. 21. Ahmedhodzic A. 15. Bos J. 7. Moder J. 28. Targhalline O. 10. Valente L. 23. Hadj Moussa A. 9. Ueda A. 19. Sterling R.	26. Paes M. (G) 2. Rosa L. 37. Sutalo J. 15. Baas Y. 32. Tomiyasu T. 18. Klaassen D. (C) 24. Mokio J. 48. Steur S. 23. Berghuis S. 25. Weghorst W. 11. Godts M.
Substitutes
72. Agboluaje H. 13. Benda S. (G) 11. Borges G. 39. Bossin L. (G) 27. Diarra G. 24. Kraaijeveld T. 16. Sauer L. 32. Sliti A. 17. Tengstedt C. 44. van den Elshout T.	43. Bounida R. 30. Bouwman A. 7. Carrizo M. 9. Dolberg K. 28. Fitz-Jim K. 3. Gaaei A. 10. Gloukh O. 12. Heerkens J. (G) 19. Konadu D. 52. Reverson P. (G) 53. van der Lans M. 5. Wijndal O.
Coaches
van Persie R.	Garcia O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 0 - 1, Steur S. ⚽,
55', Sterling R. ↓, Sauer L. ↑,
55', Berghuis S. ↓, Dolberg K. ↑,
55', Weghorst W. ↓, Bounida R. ↑,
60', Baas Y. 🟨,
68', Steur S. ↓, Fitz-Jim K. ↑,
73', Tomiyasu T. ↓, Wijndal O. ↑,
73', Hadj Moussa A. 🟨,
79', Bounida R. 🟨,
84', Rosa L. 🟨,
84', 1 - 1, Moder J. (Penalty Awarded),
85', Lotomba J. ↓, van den Elshout T. ↑,
89', Ueda A. ↓, Tengstedt C. ↑,
89', Targhalline O. ↓, Kraaijeveld T. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Feyenoord won 2.

Feyenoord is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Ajax has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ajax may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Feyenoord might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Feyenoord won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 27:41. (average 1.4:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Feyenoord won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:20. (average 1.6:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Feyenoord	10	7	3	0	32:11	21	24
2	Ajax	10	6	3	1	29:13	16	21

Outrights of Dutch Eredivisie for now

Feyenoord: 32.67% Ajax: 11.45%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Feyenoord
Dutch Eredivisie
15.03.26	Feyenoord - Excelsior	2:1 ✺
08.03.26	NAC Breda - Feyenoord	3:3 ✺
01.03.26	Twente - Feyenoord	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Feyenoord - Telstar	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Feyenoord - Go Ahead Eagles	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WTLWW
- Ajax Amsterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
14.03.26	Ajax - Sparta Rotterdam	4:0 ✺
07.03.26	Groningen - Ajax	3:1 ✺
01.03.26	Zwolle - Ajax	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Ajax - NEC Nijmegen	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Ajax - Fortuna Sittard	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
14.12.25	Ajax - Feyenoord	2:0
02.02.25	Ajax - Feyenoord	2:1
30.10.24	Feyenoord - Ajax	0:2
07.04.24	Feyenoord - Ajax	6:0
27.09.23	Ajax - Feyenoord	0:4
Dutch KNVB Beker
05.04.23	Feyenoord - Ajax	1:2
Dutch Eredivisie
19.03.23	Ajax - Feyenoord	2:3

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