Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EERSTE DIVISIE - ROUND 7

Date: 22 September 2023, Friday

Location: GS Staalwerken Stadion (Helmond)

Referee: Hensgens R. (Ned)


	Helmond Sport		Groningen

	1	X	2
	4.33	4	1.75
	4.5	3.75	1.75	Watch
	4.55	4.13	1.74
	3.9	3.6	1.7
	4.5	3.95	1.72	Watch
	4.1	3.85	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.31 ↑ (3.6)	3.88 ↑ (3.8)	1.73 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Helmond Sport
21.7%

Draw
24.2%

Groningen
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

23.9%

50.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

24.2%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Helmond Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Groningen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	10%	70%

Helmond Sport - Groningen Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Helmond Sport will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Groningen will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Groningen: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. van der Steen W. (C) 2. van Vlerken B. 3. Van Den Eynden F. 28. Kreekels M. 24. Schroijen J. 20. Ostrc E. 27. Vankerkhoven L. 10. Van Keilegom A. 19. Botos G. 7. Amuzu J. 9. Kaars M.	1. Verrips M. (G) 5. Rente M. 12. Balker R. 43. Peersman M. 18. Maatta I. 42. Turay F. 7. Hove J. 8. Bacuna L. 11. Abraham P. 9. van Veen K. 40. Valente L.
Substitutes
29. Chacon M. 30. Culhaci G. 8. Lorentzen H. 6. Ludwig M. 14. Mallahi M. 21. Mantel R. (G) 18. Marin A. 12. Rottiers N. 23. ten Hove R. (G) 11. van Ooijen P.	45. Baron D. (G) 20. Blokzijl T. 22. Emeran N. 10. Irandust D. 17. Lien K. 44. Meijster J. (G) 24. Musampa Nordin N. 4. Pelupessy J. 14. Schreuders J. 25. van Bergen T. 19. Van Gelderen L.
Coaches
Peeters B.	Lukkien D.

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Groningen is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Helmond Sport won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Helmond Sport
Dutch Eerste Divisie
18.09.23	De Graafschap - Helmond Sport	2:1 ✺
15.09.23	Helmond Sport - FC Oss	1:1 ✺
01.09.23	Helmond Sport - Cambuur	2:1 ✺
28.08.23	Jong PSV - Helmond Sport	2:1 ✺
18.08.23	Helmond Sport - Den Bosch	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LTWLW
- FC Groningen
Dutch Eerste Divisie
18.09.23	Groningen - Jong PSV	4:0 ✺
15.09.23	Groningen - ADO Den Haag	0:1 ✺
01.09.23	FC Oss - Groningen	0:2 ✺
27.08.23	Groningen - Willem II	0:0 ✺
21.08.23	Jong Utrecht - Groningen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch KNVB Beker
27.10.21	Groningen - Helmond Sport	4:0
Club Friendly
13.07.13	Groningen - Helmond Sport	3:1

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