Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EERSTE DIVISIE - ROUND 10

Date: 15 October 2023, Sunday


	Cambuur		NAC Breda

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.8	3.5
	1.9	3.75	3.25
	1.95	4	3.4	Watch
	1.94	4.13	3.6
	1.85	3.9	3.3
	1.95	4	3.34	Watch
	1.94	3.85	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.4)	3.92 ↓ (4.6)	3.38 ↓ (5.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cambuur
48.5%

Draw
23.9%

NAC Breda
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.7%

19.7%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

17.8%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cambuur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cambuur's form might have worsened.

NAC Breda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting NAC Breda's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambuur than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cambuur, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for NAC Breda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Cambuur - NAC Breda Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Cambuur will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Breda will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Breda: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. van Osch Y. (G) 2. Caschili G. 3. Smand F. 4. Bergsma L. 5. Poll T. 8. van Kaam D. (C) 21. de Koe M. 14. Breij M. 11. van der Water S. 12. El Hilali Y. 7. Balk R.	49. Troost T. (G) 3. Koscelnik M. 23. Besselink R. 5. Van den Bergh J. 4. Kemper B. 31. Wernersson V. 18. Agougil S. 8. Leemans C. (C) 39. Janosek D. 19. Boere T. 9. Haugen S.
Substitutes
33. Anyasi C. 51. Henstra I. 49. Kooistra W. 23. Minnema B. (G) 16. Reiziger D. (G) 36. Schaapman M. 15. Tol M. 22. van der Meer J. 39. van der Werff T. 35. Veldman M.	28. de Wijs S. 14. Kaied A. 17. Kuijpers R. 2. Lucassen B. 27. Marijnissen T. 22. Omgba A. 29. Rached M. 6. Staring C. 36. van de Merbel P. (G)
Coaches
de Jong H.	van Gastel J.

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 11 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cambuur won 4.

Recent matches Cambuur is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Breda is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cambuur could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Cambuur will have a mini benefit in this match.

There are questionable in Breda: Omarsson E. (Knee Injury) Omgba A. (Knee Injury) van Schuppen B. (Knee Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Cambuur won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Cambuur won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leeuwarden Cambuur
Dutch Eerste Divisie
06.10.23	Dordrecht - Cambuur	5:2 ✺
29.09.23	Cambuur - Jong PSV	3:4 ✺
22.09.23	Jong Utrecht - Cambuur	3:2 ✺
17.09.23	Cambuur - Willem II	1:0 ✺
09.09.23	Cambuur - Den Bosch	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLWW
- NAC Breda
Dutch Eerste Divisie
06.10.23	NAC Breda - Groningen	3:2 ✺
02.10.23	Jong Utrecht - NAC Breda	1:1 ✺
22.09.23	NAC Breda - Emmen	1:3 ✺
15.09.23	VVV-Venlo - NAC Breda	3:1 ✺
09.09.23	NAC Breda - Roda	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
12.05.21	Cambuur - NAC Breda	3:2
20.10.20	NAC Breda - Cambuur	0:4
23.08.19	NAC Breda - Cambuur	1:0
07.04.17	NAC Breda - Cambuur	0:2
25.11.16	Cambuur - NAC Breda	3:1
Dutch Eredivisie
20.02.15	NAC Breda - Cambuur	2:1
06.12.14	Cambuur - NAC Breda	0:1

Upcoming Matches