Match Info

NETHERLANDS: EERSTE DIVISIE - ROUND 11

Date: 20 October 2023, Friday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Netherlands	20:00	ESPN


	De Graafschap		Groningen

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.5	2.45	Watch
	2.6	3.5	2.35
	2.7	3.6	2.45	Watch
	2.74	3.7	2.56
	2.74	3.6	2.56
	2.6	3.6	2.3	Watch
	2.7	3.66	2.39	Watch
	2.7	3.5	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.3)	3.58 ↓ (3.6)	2.43 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

De Graafschap
35%

Draw
26.3%

Groningen
38.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.6%

25.3%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

24.5%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

De Graafschap has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Groningen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for De Graafschap, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Groningen than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	11.1%	55.6%

De Graafschap - Groningen Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Graafschap will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Groningen will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Groningen: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bakker M. (G) 22. Fortes J. 4. Schenk X. 20. Hillen R. 28. Buttner A. 6. Kaak L. 8. Warmerdam D. 23. Brittijn P. 30. van Gilst T. 11. Colyn S. 33. Onal B.	1. Verrips M. (G) 5. Rente M. 12. Balker R. 43. Peersman M. 18. Maatta I. 25. van Bergen T. 7. Hove J. 4. Pelupessy J. 29. Postema R. 8. Bacuna L. 9. van Veen K.
Substitutes
7. Bosilj D. 18. Buttner G. 19. Dogan H. 14. Hardeman J. 26. Hassan B. 35. Jansen T. (G) 3. Lammers J. 10. Mahi M. 17. Raterink E. 25. Schoppema L. 42. Wevers S. 16. Wieggers T. (G)	45. Baron D. (G) 26. Beukers D. 47. de Jonge T. 6. Duarte L. 22. Emeran N. 21. Jurjus H. (G) 17. Lien K. 24. Musampa Nordin N. 50. Prins W. 39. Schraven J. 14. Schreuders J. 19. Van Gelderen L.
Coaches
Vreman J.	Lukkien D.

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Relegation ~ Play Offs: ) and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches De Graafschap won 0.

De Graafschap is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Groningen is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in De Graafschap: Haen D. (Ankle Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches De Graafschap won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 4-12.

Including matches at home between the teams De Graafschap won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- De Graafschap
Dutch Eerste Divisie
06.10.23	Willem II - De Graafschap	4:2 ✺
29.09.23	De Graafschap - Roda	0:0 ✺
24.09.23	MVV Maastricht - De Graafschap	1:2 ✺
18.09.23	De Graafschap - Helmond Sport	2:1 ✺
15.09.23	Jong PSV - De Graafschap	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LTWWW
- FC Groningen
Dutch Eerste Divisie
06.10.23	NAC Breda - Groningen	3:2 ✺
29.09.23	Groningen - Den Bosch	0:3 ✺
22.09.23	Helmond Sport - Groningen	1:2 ✺
18.09.23	Groningen - Jong PSV	4:0 ✺
15.09.23	Groningen - ADO Den Haag	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
28.07.23	Groningen - De Graafschap	1:0
Dutch Eredivisie
02.04.19	Groningen - De Graafschap	1:0
25.08.18	De Graafschap - Groningen	0:1
Club Friendly
24.07.18	De Graafschap - Groningen	1:3
Dutch Eredivisie
10.04.16	Groningen - De Graafschap	3:1
21.11.15	De Graafschap - Groningen	1:2
27.04.12	Groningen - De Graafschap	1:1

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