Match Info

Date: 26 December 2020, Saturday


	Cardiff City		Brentford

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.2	2.3
	3.3	3.2	2.3
	3.35	3.1	2.4
	3.2	3.05	2.31
	3.4	3.15	2.41
	3.3	3	2.35
	3.25	3.2	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↑ (3.24)	3.13 ↓ (3.28)	2.35 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cardiff City
29%

Draw
30.5%

Brentford
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.2%

28.9%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

19.5%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cardiff City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Brentford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cardiff City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brentford than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brentford, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cardiff City - Brentford Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

No spectators.

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion to Championship (Play Offs)).

Cardiff has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (27%), has a small chance of promoted (13%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Brentford has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (46%), has a chance of promoted (45%), has a small chance of win league (15%).

Recent matches Cardiff is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Brentford is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Brentford could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Brentford will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 22-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Cardiff won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cardiff City
English League Championship
19.12.20	Norwich City - Cardiff City	2:0 ✺
16.12.20	Cardiff City - Birmingham City	3:2 ✺
12.12.20	Cardiff City - Swansea City	0:2 ✺
08.12.20	Stoke City - Cardiff City	1:2 ✺
05.12.20	Watford - Cardiff City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LWLWW
- Brentford FC
English League Cup
22.12.20	Brentford - Newcastle United	1:0 ✺
English League Championship
19.12.20	Brentford - Reading	3:1 ✺
15.12.20	Watford - Brentford	1:1 ✺
12.12.20	Nottingham Forest - Brentford	1:3 ✺
09.12.20	Brentford - Derby County	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
29.02.20	Cardiff City - Brentford	2:2
11.12.19	Brentford - Cardiff City	2:1
13.03.18	Brentford - Cardiff City	1:3
18.11.17	Cardiff City - Brentford	2:0
08.04.17	Cardiff City - Brentford	2:1
26.12.16	Brentford - Cardiff City	2:2
19.04.16	Brentford - Cardiff City	2:1

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