Match Info

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 27

Date: 18 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Cardiff City Stadium (Cardiff)

Referee: Bell J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, ESPN 1, Sporty TV, StarTimes App
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Portugal	Sport TV4
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Tajikistan	Futbol TV
United-kingdom	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Ultra
Usa	CBS, Paramount+
World	Disney+, Setanta Sports 2 Eurasia


	Cardiff City		Swansea City

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.1	2.7	Watch
	2.65	3.1	2.85
	2.81	3.05	2.71	Watch
	2.76	3.08	2.76	Watch
	2.62	3.1	2.8
	2.71	3.16	2.7	Watch
	2.71	3.05	2.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.56)	3.09 ↓ (3.34)	2.76 ↑ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

Watch this match and English League Championship with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: CBSSN

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Current Win Probability

Cardiff City
35%

Draw
30.7%

Swansea City
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

28.3%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

28.8%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cardiff City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Swansea City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	46.2%	23.1%

Cardiff City - Swansea City Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Cardiff will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Swansea will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Alnwick J. (G) 35. Rinomhota A. 4. Goutas D. 5. Daland J. 11. O'Dowda C. 12. Chambers C. 8. Ralls J. (C) 45. Ashford C. 18. Robertson A. 32. Tanner O. 47. Robinson C.	22. Vigouroux L. (G) 2. Key J. 5. Cabango B. 6. Darling H. 14. Tymon J. 17. Franco G. 8. Grimes M. (C) 35. Ronald 7. Allen J. 10. Eom J. 20. Cullen L.
Substitutes
23. Bagan J. 27. Colwill R. 2. Fish W. 1. Horvath E. (G) 19. Meite Y. 38. Ng P. 22. Salech Y. 3. Siopis M. 16. Willock C.	19. Bianchini F. 23. Christie C. 4. Fulton J. 33. McLaughlin J. (G) 26. Naughton K. 41. Parker S. 25. Peart-Harris M. 9. Vipotnik Z. 43. Watts D.
Coaches
Riza O.	Williams L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', O'Dowda C. ↓, Bagan J. ↑,
45+5', Grimes M. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
47', 1 - 0, Robinson C. ⚽, Tanner O. (A),
51', 2 - 0, Robinson C. ⚽,
55', Eom J. ↓, Bianchini F. ↑,
55', Allen J. ↓, Vipotnik Z. ↑,
67', 3 - 0, Goutas D. ⚽, Robertson A. (A),
76', Key J. ↓, Naughton K. ↑,
76', Chambers C. ↓, Siopis M. ↑,
76', Robertson A. ↓, Colwill R. ↑,
81', Cullen L. 🟨,
84', Tanner O. ↓, Meite Y. ↑,
84', Robinson C. ↓, Salech Y. ↑,
84', Ronald ↓, Parker S. ↑,
88', Bianchini F. 🟨,
90', Ralls J. 🟨,
90', Cabango B. 🟨,
90+3', Riza O. 🟥,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 21 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 1.

Cardiff is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Swansea is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Swansea could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Cardiff: Davies I. (Leg Injury) Ramsey A. (Muscle Injury) Reindorf M. (Ankle Injury) Turnbull D. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Swansea: Cooper O. (Foot Injury) Parker S. (Muscle Injury) Pedersen K. (Hamstring Injury)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 7:21 (average 0.5:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Cardiff won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:9 (average 0.8:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cardiff City
English League Championship
14.01.25	Cardiff City - Watford	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
09.01.25	Sheffield United - Cardiff City	0:1 ✺
English League Championship
04.01.25	Middlesbrough - Cardiff City	1:1 ✺
01.01.25	Cardiff City - Coventry City	1:1 ✺
29.12.24	Watford - Cardiff City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.7 TWTTW
- Swansea City
English FA Cup
12.01.25	Southampton - Swansea City	3:0 ✺
English League Championship
04.01.25	Swansea City - West Bromwich Albion	1:1 ✺
01.01.25	Portsmouth - Swansea City	4:0 ✺
29.12.24	Swansea City - Luton Town	2:1 ✺
26.12.24	Swansea City - Queens Park Rangers	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
25.08.24	Swansea City - Cardiff City	1:1
16.03.24	Swansea City - Cardiff City	2:0
16.09.23	Cardiff City - Swansea City	2:0
01.04.23	Cardiff City - Swansea City	2:3
23.10.22	Swansea City - Cardiff City	2:0
02.04.22	Cardiff City - Swansea City	0:4
17.10.21	Swansea City - Cardiff City	3:0

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