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Current Win Probability
Swansea City 45.6%
Draw 27.5%
Luton Town 26.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.5%
28.2%
32.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.5%
28.2%
32.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swansea City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Swansea City's performance.
Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luton Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Swansea City that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luton Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
90.3%
6.5%
3.2%
Swansea City - Luton Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
62 users predict this event. Swansea will win (votes: 56 - 90.3%). Luton will win (votes: 2 - 3.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 6.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Swansea: 82.9% – 97.7%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Vigouroux L. (G) 2. Key J. 5. Cabango B. 6. Darling H. 14. Tymon J. 17. Franco G. 8. Grimes M. 35. Ronald 20. Cullen L. 10. Eom J. 19. Bianchini F.
24. Kaminski T. (G) 29. Holmes T. 6. McGuinness M. 38. Johnson J. 14. Chong T. 13. Nakamba M. 18. Clark J. 8. Krauss T. 3. Bell A. 9. Morris C. 11. Adebayo E.
Substitutes
47. Abdulai A. 23. Christie C. 4. Fulton J. 36. Lloyd B. 33. McLaughlin J. (G) 26. Naughton K. 25. Peart-Harris M. 21. Tjoe a On N. 9. Vipotnik Z.
27. Hashioka D. 23. Krul T. (G) 7. Moses V. 17. Mpanzu P. 37. Nelson Z. 21. Pieters E. 25. Taylor J. 2. Walters R. 10. Woodrow C.
Coaches
Williams L.
Edwards R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Morris C. ⚽,
30', McGuinness M. 🟨,
31', Johnson J. 🟨,
38', 1 - 1, Franco G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Franco G. ↓, Fulton J. ↑,
60', Clark J. 🟨,
64', Nakamba M. ↓, Nelson Z. ↑,
68', Johnson J. 🟨,
71', Adebayo E. ↓, Walters R. ↑,
77', Eom J. ↓, Peart-Harris M. ↑,
77', Bianchini F. ↓, Vipotnik Z. ↑,
86', Krauss T. ↓, Mpanzu P. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 1, Peart-Harris M. ⚽,
90+6', Grimes M. 🟨,
90+6', Ronald ↓, Abdulai A. ↑,
Preview
Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 18).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Swansea won 0.
The game of competitors is shaky now.
Swansea will have a mini benefit in this match.
There will not play in Swansea: Allen J.
(Injury)
Cooper O.
(Foot Injury)
Ginnelly J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Parker S.
(Muscle Injury)
Pedersen K.
(Injury)
There will not play in Luton: Lockyer T.
(Heart Problems)
Walters R.
(Foot Injury)
There are questionable in Swansea: Fisher A.
(Groin Injury)
There are questionable in Luton: Doughty A.
(Ankle Injury)
Last 9 head-to-head matches Swansea won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:9 (average 0.9:1).
Including matches at home between the teams Swansea won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.5:1).
Hungary
Watch
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Vigouroux L. (G) 
Key J. 
Cabango B. 
Franco G. 
Ronald 
Eom J. 
Bianchini F. 
Kaminski T. (G) 
McGuinness M. 
Chong T. 
Nakamba M. 
Krauss T. 
Bell A. 
Abdulai A. 
Tjoe a On N. 
Vipotnik Z. 
Hashioka D. 
Moses V. 
Mpanzu P. 
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