The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Carlisle United 30.5%
Draw 27.5%
Bristol Rovers 42%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.7%
27.8%
35.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37%
28%
35.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carlisle United's form might have worsened.
Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bristol Rovers's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carlisle United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bristol Rovers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
44.4%
11.1%
44.4%
Carlisle United - Bristol Rovers Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Carlisle will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Carlisle: 11.9% – 76.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Holy T. (G) 26. Barclay B. 5. Lavelle S. 6. Huntington P. (C) 3. Armer J. 22. Mellish J. 4. Moxon O. 27. Plange L. 21. McGeouch D. 7. Gibson J. 14. Garner J.
33. Cox M. (G) 42. Hunt J. 25. Crama T. 5. Wilson J. (C) 32. Friend G. 21. Evans A. 15. Woods R. 22. Bogarde L. 19. Vale H. 18. Martin C. 10. Collins A.
Substitutes
12. Ablade T. 25. Andresson J. (G) 11. Butterworth D. 9. Edmondson R. 24. Maguire S. 19. Robinson J. 17. Whelan C.
20. Brown J. 28. Gibbons J. 4. Grant J. 35. Hall M. (G) 9. Marquis J. 7. Sinclair S. 11. Thomas L.
Coaches
Simpson P.
Mangan A.
Preview
An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 12).
Carlisle is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Bristol Rovers is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Bristol Rovers could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Carlisle won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.
Watch
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Holy T. (G) 
Barclay B. 
Lavelle S. 
Crama T. 
Wilson J. (C) 
Bogarde L. 
Ablade T. 
Andresson J. (G) 
Maguire S. 
Brown J. 
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