Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 11

Date: 3 October 2023, Tuesday

Location: Brunton Park (Carlisle)

Referee: Simpson S. (Eng)


	Carlisle United		Peterborough United

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.6	1.95
	3.5	3.5	2
	3.5	3.6	2	Watch
	3.78	3.62	2.03
	3.5	3.5	2
	3.7	3.52	1.97	Watch
	3.45	3.55	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↑ (3.51)	3.56 ↑ (3.55)	1.99 ↑ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Carlisle United
26.3%

Draw
26.5%

Peterborough United
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

26.2%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

25.6%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Peterborough United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	9.1%	63.6%

Carlisle United - Peterborough United Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Carlisle will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Peterborough will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Peterborough: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Holy T. (G) 2. Back F. 5. Lavelle S. (C) 22. Mellish J. 3. Armer J. 8. Guy C. 4. Moxon O. 10. McCalmont A. 24. Maguire S. 14. Garner J. 7. Gibson J.	1. Bilokapic N. (G) 30. Kioso P. (C) 5. Knight J. 4. Edwards R. 3. Burrows H. 8. De Havilland R. 27. Collins A. 16. Ajiboye D. 10. Mason-Clark E. 17. Jones R.J. 9. Clarke-Harris J.
Substitutes
12. Ablade T. 13. Breeze G. (G) 9. Edmondson R. 16. Harris J. J. 6. Huntington P. 27. Plange L. 19. Robinson J.	6. Crichlow-Noble R. 2. Katongo J. 11. Poku K. 14. Randall J. 15. Sturge Z. 25. Talley F. (G) 28. Wakeling J.
Coaches
Simpson P.	Ferguson D.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 19 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).

Carlisle is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Peterborough is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Carlisle could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Carlisle have a series of guest games.

Peterborough will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Carlisle won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Carlisle won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlisle United
English League One
30.09.23	Wycombe Wanderers - Carlisle United	2:0 ✺
23.09.23	Carlisle United - Derby County	0:2 ✺
16.09.23	Lincoln City - Carlisle United	1:1 ✺
09.09.23	Stevenage Borough - Carlisle United	2:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
05.09.23	Accrington Stanley - Carlisle United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLTTL
- Peterborough United
English League One
30.09.23	Peterborough United - Bristol Rovers	2:0 ✺
English League Cup
26.09.23	Mansfield Town - Peterborough United	3:2 penalties ✺
English League One
23.09.23	Bolton Wanderers - Peterborough United	1:1 ✺
19.09.23	Peterborough United - Cheltenham Town	3:0 ✺
16.09.23	Peterborough United - Leyton Orient	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
08.11.14	Peterborough United - Carlisle United	2:1
English League One
21.04.14	Peterborough United - Carlisle United	4:1
29.12.13	Carlisle United - Peterborough United	2:1

Upcoming Matches