Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 8

Date: 16 September 2023, Saturday

Location: LNER stadium (Lincoln)

Referee: Nield T. (Eng)


	Lincoln City		Carlisle United

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.2	4.33
	1.95	3.3	4	Watch
	1.98	3.33	4.34
	1.91	3.1	3.6
	1.93	3.4	4.1	Watch
	1.9	3.25	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↑ (1.94)	3.26 ↓ (3.28)	4.1 ↑ (3.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lincoln City
48.4%

Draw
28.7%

Carlisle United
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

28.2%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

27.6%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	20%	10%

Lincoln City - Carlisle United Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Lincoln will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Carlisle will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lincoln: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jensen L. (G) 25. Mitchell A. 15. O'Connor P. 23. Roughan S. 2. Sorensen L. 11. Hamilton E. 6. Erhahon E. 16. Burroughs J. 8. Smith A. 7. Hackett-Fairchild R. 10. Bishop T.	25. Andresson J. (G) 2. Back F. 5. Lavelle S. 6. Huntington P. (C) 22. Mellish J. 3. Armer J. 7. Gibson J. 8. Guy C. 4. Moxon O. 24. Maguire S. 27. Plange L.
Substitutes
21. Adelakun H. 3. Brown J. 17. Duffy D. 22. Eyoma T. 26. Gallagher O. 27. Makama J. 12. Wright J. (G)	12. Ablade T. 9. Edmondson R. 14. Garner J. 1. Holy T. (G) 10. McCalmont A. 19. Robinson J. 17. Whelan C.
Coaches
Kennedy M.	Simpson P.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lincoln won 2.

Lincoln is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Carlisle is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Carlisle could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Lincoln have a series of guest games.

In this match Lincoln is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Lincoln won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Lincoln won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lincoln City
English League One
02.09.23	Bristol Rovers - Lincoln City	1:1 ✺
English League Cup
30.08.23	Sheffield United - Lincoln City	0:1 penalties ✺
English League One
26.08.23	Lincoln City - Blackpool	3:0 ✺
19.08.23	Shrewsbury Town - Lincoln City	0:1 ✺
15.08.23	Northampton Town - Lincoln City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.7 TWWWT
- Carlisle United
English League One
09.09.23	Stevenage Borough - Carlisle United	2:2 ✺
English EFL Trophy
05.09.23	Accrington Stanley - Carlisle United	1:0 ✺
English League One
02.09.23	Carlisle United - Shrewsbury Town	2:0 ✺
26.08.23	Port Vale - Carlisle United	1:0 ✺
19.08.23	Carlisle United - Exeter City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English EFL Trophy
30.11.21	Carlisle United - Lincoln City	2:1 penalties
English League Two
19.04.19	Carlisle United - Lincoln City	1:0
English FA Cup
01.12.18	Lincoln City - Carlisle United	2:0
English League Two
23.10.18	Lincoln City - Carlisle United	2:2
02.04.18	Carlisle United - Lincoln City	0:1
26.08.17	Lincoln City - Carlisle United	4:1

Upcoming Matches