Match Info

Serie B - Round 33

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday

Location: Stadio dei Marmi (Carrara)

Referee: Manganiello G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	5 STARS Israel
Italy	LAB Channel
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Slovakia	Sport TV2
Switzerland	Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5
United-kingdom	DCTV
Usa	DCTV, FOX One, Fox Soccer Plus
World	Onefootball


	Carrarese		Spezia

	1	X	2
	2.35	3	3.2	Watch
	2.28	3	3.25	Watch
	2.47	3	3.47
	2.09	3.18	3.67	Watch
	2.38	3	2.9
	2.42	3.03	3.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.1)	3.04 ↑ (2.84)	3.29 ↓ (4.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carrarese
40.4%

Draw
31%

Spezia
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

32.9%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

32.8%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carrarese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Spezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Spezia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Spezia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	25%	12.5%

Carrarese - Spezia Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Carrarese will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Spezia will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carrarese: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bleve M. (G) 37. Calabrese N. 6. Oliana F. 26. Ruggeri F. 72. Zanon S. 77. Parlanti G. 17. Zuelli E. (C) 70. Hasa L. 73. Rouhi J. 9. Abiuso F. 32. Finotto M.	22. Radunovic B. (G) 37. Mateju A. 55. Hristov P. (C) 94. Bonfanti G. 17. Sernicola L. 32. Vignali L. 60. Romano A. 25. Bandinelli F. 31. Aurelio G. 5. Valoti M. 9. Artistico G.
Substitutes
7. Belloni N. 13. Bouah D. 28. Di Stefano F. 99. Fiorillo V. (G) 12. Garofani G. (G) 25. Lordkipanidze D. 8. Melegoni F. 21. Rubino T. 18. Schiavi N. 44. Sekulov N. 92. Torregrossa E. 20. Troise A.	70. Adamo E. 6. Bellemo A. 24. Bertoncini A. 34. Comotto C. 20. Di Serio G. 10. Lapadula G. 77. Lorenzelli E. 16. Loria L. (G) 12. Mascardi D. (G) 8. Nagy A. 4. Ruggero M. 99. Vlahovic V.
Coaches
Calabro A.	D'Angelo L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
16', Bonfanti G. 🟨,
17', 1 - 0, Calabrese N. ⚽, Zuelli E. (A),
23', 2 - 0, Finotto M. ⚽, Zanon S. (A),
27', Abiuso F. (Penalty Awarded),
45+2', Mateju A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Mateju A. ↓, Lapadula G. ↑,
49', 2 - 1, Valoti M. ⚽, Artistico G. (A),
59', Finotto M. 🟨,
63', 3 - 1, Abiuso F. ⚽, Hasa L. (A),
69', Vignali L. 🟨,
70', Finotto M. ↓, Di Stefano F. ↑,
70', Rouhi J. ↓, Belloni N. ↑,
70', Vignali L. ↓, Comotto C. ↑,
70', Bandinelli F. ↓, Adamo E. ↑,
79', Hasa L. ↓, Schiavi N. ↑,
79', Aurelio G. ↓, Ruggero M. ↑,
85', Romano A. ↓, Bellemo A. ↑,
85', Zanon S. ↓, Bouah D. ↑,
85', Abiuso F. ↓, Rubino T. ↑,
85', Valoti M. 🟥,
90', Adamo E. 🟥,
90', Belloni N. 🟥,
90+2', Bonfanti G. 🟥,
90+6', Comotto C. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Carrarese could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Carrarese: Accornero F. (Inactive) Illanes J. (Yellow Cards) Salamon B. (Inactive) Schiavi N. (Injury)

There will not play in Spezia: Beruatto P. (Yellow Cards) Cassata F. (Muscle Injury) Mateju A. (Injury) Sarr M. (Ankle Injury) Skjellerup L. (Inactive) Zurkowski S. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Spezia: Di Serio G. (Inactive)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Carrarese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 1.3:2.7).

Including home match between the teams, Carrarese won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.

Outrights of Italian Serie B for now

Carrarese: 0.17%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
20	Carrarese	5	0	1	4	2:6	-4	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie B
22.03.26	Bari - Carrarese	0:3 ✺
18.03.26	Carrarese - Sampdoria	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Juve Stabia - Carrarese	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Carrarese - Palermo	0:1 ✺
04.03.26	Carrarese - Catanzaro	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWTLT
- Spezia Calcio
Italian Serie B
21.03.26	Juve Stabia - Spezia	3:1 ✺
17.03.26	Spezia - Empoli	1:1 ✺
13.03.26	Modena - Spezia	3:0 ✺
07.03.26	Spezia - Monza	4:2 ✺
03.03.26	Padova - Spezia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
24.08.25	Spezia - Carrarese	0:2
19.01.25	Carrarese - Spezia	0:4
22.09.24	Spezia - Carrarese	4:2

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