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Current Win Probability
Castellón 56.3%
Draw 25.7%
Burgos 18%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.8%
25.9%
20.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.7%
28.7%
18.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
10%
30%
Castellón - Burgos Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Castellón will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Burgos will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%). Confidence interval (95%) for Castellón: 29.6% – 90.4%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.5 - Burgos (4.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Burgos (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Matthys R. (G) 15. Gerenabarrena B. 3. Brignani F. 5. Jimenez A. (C) 12. Alcazar L. 18. Santiago P. 8. Barri 25. Ronaldo 19. Jakobsen A. 9. Camara O. 21. Calatrava A.
13. Cantero A. (G) 2. Lizancos A. 6. Gonzalez S. 8. Sierra G. 12. Miguel F. 11. Mollejo V. 23. Morante I. 5. Atienza M. (C) 10. Appin K. 9. Nino F. 16. Curro
Substitutes
1. Abedzadeh A. (G) 16. Cipenga B. 29. De Nipoti T. 6. Doue M. 23. Garcia A. 7. Mabil A. 17. Ruiz S. 14. Sanchez R. 4. Sienra A. 10. Suero I. 2. Tincho 55. Willman M.
15. Bunuel A. 21. Cordoba I. 28. del Cerro S. 33. Exposito M. 4. Galdames P. 31. Garcia F. 14. Gonzalez Ballesteros D. 20. Gonzalez M. 3. Luengo O. 22. Martinez B. 7. Mejia M. 1. Ruiz J. (G)
Coaches
Hernandez P.
Ramis L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Camara O. ⚽, Alcazar L. (A),
21', 1 - 1, Curro (Penalty Awarded),
24', Gerenabarrena B. 🟨,
35', Brignani F. 🟨,
40', Jimenez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Lizancos A. ↓, Bunuel A. ↑,
48', Gonzalez S. 🟨,
56', Ronaldo ↓, Cipenga B. ↑,
56', Brignani F. ↓, Sienra A. ↑,
62', Camara O. 🟨,
62', Curro 🟨,
64', Mollejo V. ↓, Cordoba I. ↑,
64', Appin K. ↓, Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ↑,
71', Santiago P. ↓, Mabil A. ↑,
76', Curro ↓, Luengo O. ↑,
79', 2 - 1, Calatrava A. ⚽, Mabil A. (A),
80', Gonzalez S. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
81', 3 - 1, Mabil A. ⚽, Jakobsen A. (A),
83', Jakobsen A. ↓, Suero I. ↑,
83', Calatrava A. ↓, Doue M. ↑,
90', Camara O. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
90+1', Nino F. ↓, Mejia M. ↑,
90+7', Doue M. 🟨,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 7 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Castellón is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Burgos is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In this match, Castellón is the team to beat.
There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D.
(Knee Injury)
Mellot J.
(Red Card)
There are questionable in Castellón: Sienra A.
(Injury)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Castellón won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
Including home match between the teams, Castellón won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.