Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 27

Date: 8 March 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio de Balaídos (Vigo) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Diaz I. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	10:00	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN 3
Armenia	17:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	00:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	14:00	DAZN
Belgium	14:00	DAZN 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	14:00	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	10:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	15:00	Max Sport 4
Canada	08:00	TSN+
Chile	10:00	Disney+
China	21:00	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	08:00	Disney+, ESPN 3
Croatia	14:00	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	14:00	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	14:00	TV2 Play
Finland	15:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	14:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free
Georgia	17:00	Silk Sport 1
Germany	14:00	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	15:00	Nova Sports 1
Hong Kong	21:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, Now Sports 2
Hungary	14:00	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	18:30	GXR World
Indonesia	20:00	beIN Connect, RCTI+, Vidio
Israel	15:00	ONE Sport
Italy	14:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	22:00	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Laos	20:00	beIN Connect
Macao	21:00	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	21:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	18:00	ICE Plus
Malta	14:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	07:00	Canal 5, Sky Sport, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium
New Zealand	02:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	14:00	SuperSport LaLiga
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte, SportsMax 2 Caribbean, SportsMax App Caribbean
Norway	14:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Peru	08:00	Disney+
Philippines	21:00	beIN Connect
Poland	14:00	CANAL+ Sport 5
Portugal	13:00	DAZN 2
Romania	15:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
Russia	16:00	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	14:00	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	21:00	beIN Sport 1, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	14:00	Voyo
Slovenia	14:00	Arena Premium 1
South Africa	15:00	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South America	—	ViX Latin America
South Korea	22:00	Coupang Play
Spain	14:00	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	14:00	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	14:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Taiwan	21:00	DAZN
Thailand	20:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	16:00	Exxen, S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	15:00	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United Kingdom	13:00	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	10:00	Disney+
Usa	08:00	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, TUDN
Venezuela	09:00	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	20:00	K+, SCTV 15, SCTV Online
International	13:00	Disney+


	Celta de Vigo		Leganés

	1	X	2
	1.53	4	7	Watch
	1.55	4	6.25
	1.53	4.2	7	Watch
	1.58	4.2	6.69
	1.52	4.11	6.68	Watch
	1.53	4	6.5
	1.57	4.28	7	Watch
	1.53	4.2	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.58)	4.12 ↑ (4.08)	6.77 ↑ (6.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

Watch this match and Spanish LaLiga with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: ESPN Deportes

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Celta de Vigo
62.4%

Draw
23.3%

Leganés
14.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.7%

23.5%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

24.3%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celta de Vigo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Leganés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	8.3%	16.7%

Celta de Vigo - Leganés Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Celta will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Leganés will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Celta: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Guaita V. (G) 16. Jailson 2. Starfelt C. 20. Alonso M. 5. Carreira S. 25. Rodriguez D. 4. Sotelo H. 3. Mingueza O. 10. Aspas I. (C) 12. Gonzalez A. 7. Iglesias B.	13. Dmitrovic M. (G) 12. Rosier V. 5. Tapia R. 22. Nastasic M. 6. Gonzalez S. (C) 20. Hernandez J. 11. Cruz J. 17. Neyou Y. 8. Cisse S. 7. Rodriguez O. 19. Garcia D.
Substitutes
8. Beltran F. 11. Cervi F. 24. Dominguez C. 18. Duran P. 39. El Abdellaoui J. 27. Fernandez C. G. (G) 28. Lopez F. 14. Losada I. 6. Moriba I. 21. Ristic M. 32. Rodriguez J. 1. Villar I. (G)	2. Altimira A. 36. Alvin (G) 14. Brasanac D. 24. Chicco J. 9. de la Fuente M. 18. Duk 21. Lopez R. 10. Raba D. 3. Saenz J. 1. Soriano J. (G)
Coaches
Giraldez C.	Jimenez B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
9', Nastasic M. 🟨,
19', 0 - 1, Rosier V. ⚽, Cruz J. (A),
26', 1 - 1, Mingueza O. ⚽, Gonzalez A. (A),
45+1', 2 - 1, Gonzalez A. ⚽, Iglesias B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Nastasic M. ↓, Saenz J. ↑,
56', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
59', Rodriguez D. ↓, Beltran F. ↑,
59', Aspas I. ↓, Losada I. ↑,
67', Cisse S. ↓, Raba D. ↑,
68', Garcia D. ↓, de la Fuente M. ↑,
70', Jailson 🟨,
75', Sotelo H. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
76', Jailson ↓, Moriba I. ↑,
76', Saenz J. 🟨,
83', Iglesias B. ↓, Duran P. ↑,
83', Gonzalez S. ↓, Duk ↑,
90', Tapia R. ↓, Chicco J. ↑,
90+3', Mingueza O. 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Celta won 1.

Recent matches Celta is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Leganés is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Celta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Celta is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Celta: Swedberg W. (Injury)

There will not play in Leganés: Barisic B. (Knee Injury) Franquesa E. (Knee Injury) Munir El Haddadi (Red Card)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Celta won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6:8 (average 0.7:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Celta won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:1 (average 0.5:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celta de Vigo
Spanish LaLiga
01.03.25	Girona - Celta de Vigo	2:2 ✺
21.02.25	Celta de Vigo - Osasuna	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	Atlético Madrid - Celta de Vigo	1:1 ✺
08.02.25	Celta de Vigo - Betis	3:2 ✺
02.02.25	Valencia - Celta de Vigo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 TWTWL
- CD Leganés
Spanish LaLiga
02.03.25	Leganés - Getafe	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Real Sociedad - Leganés	3:0 ✺
15.02.25	Leganés - Deportivo Alavés	3:3 ✺
09.02.25	Valencia - Leganés	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.02.25	Leganés - Real Madrid	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
27.10.24	Leganés - Celta de Vigo	3:0
22.02.20	Celta de Vigo - Leganés	1:0
08.12.19	Leganés - Celta de Vigo	3:2
27.04.19	Leganés - Celta de Vigo	0:0
14.12.18	Celta de Vigo - Leganés	0:0
14.04.18	Leganés - Celta de Vigo	1:0
24.11.17	Celta de Vigo - Leganés	1:0

Upcoming Matches