Match Info

Europa League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 March 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Parc Olympique Lyonnais (Lyon) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Peljto I. (Bih)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, SuperSport Maximo 3, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	18:45	SuperSport 2
Argentina	14:45	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	21:45	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	04:45	Stan Sport
Austria	18:45	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 5
Azerbaijan	21:45	CBC Sport
Bolivia	13:45	ESPN 2, ESPN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:45	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	14:45	Caze TV
Bulgaria	19:45	Max Sport 3
Canada	13:45	DAZN Canada
Colombia	12:45	ESPN 2
Croatia	18:45	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Czech Republic	18:45	Oneplay, Sport 2
Denmark	18:45	Disney+
Ecuador	12:45	ESPN 2
Finland	19:45	Viaplay
France	18:45	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 3, CANAL+ Sport, New World TV
Georgia	21:45	Setanta Sport 3
Germany	18:45	RTL+
Greece	19:45	COSMOTE Sport 8
Hong Kong	01:45	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	18:45	RTL+
Iceland	17:45	Viaplay
Indonesia	00:45	beIN Connect, Vidio
Italy	18:45	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 258
Kazakhstan	23:45	Qazsport
Kenya	20:45	Gotv
Kosovo	18:45	Arena Premium 3
Laos	00:45	beIN Connect
Macao	01:45	TDM TV
Malaysia	01:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Malta	18:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	11:45	Claro Sports
Mongolia	01:45	Premier Sports 3
Netherlands	18:45	Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	06:45	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	18:45	SuperSport Premier League
North Central America	—	RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
Norway	18:45	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Pakistan	22:45	Tapmad
Paraguay	14:45	ESPN 2
Peru	12:45	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
Philippines	01:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Poland	18:45	Polsat Sport Extra 1
Portugal	17:45	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	19:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	20:45	Okko Sport
Serbia	18:45	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	01:45	beIN Sports 2
Slovenia	18:45	SportKlub 3
South Africa	19:45	SuperSport Football
South Korea	02:45	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime+
Spain	18:45	M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	18:45	Disney+
Switzerland	18:45	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	00:45	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Turkey	20:45	Tabii Spor 1, Tabii
Ukraine	19:45	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	17:45	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 4, TNT Sports 5
Uruguay	14:45	Disney+
Usa	13:45	DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	13:45	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter
Vietnam	00:45	ON Plus, TV 360
International	17:45	VIX App


	Lyon		Celta de Vigo

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	3.3
	2.25	3.25	3.5
	2.27	3.28	3.51
	2.14	3.34	3.57	Watch
	2.15	3.2	3.3
	2.18	3.4	3.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (1.99)	3.3 ↓ (3.36)	3.47 ↓ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lyon
43.4%

Draw
29%

Celta de Vigo
27.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.7%

28.3%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

29.8%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Celta de Vigo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lyon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celta de Vigo than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
74.6%	17.5%	7.9%

Lyon - Celta de Vigo Predictions

Users Predictions: 60 users predict this event. Lyon will win (votes: 46 - 76.7%). Celta will win (votes: 5 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lyon: 66% – 87.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Lyon (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

TQ, OT - Lyon (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Celta (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lyon will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Lyon (votes: 15 - 93.8%). Celta (votes: 1 - 6.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Greif D. (G) 60. Kango S. 22. Mata C. 19. Niakhate M. 3. Tagliafico N. 16. Abner Vinicius 8. Tolisso C. (C) 23. Morton T. 99. Nartey N. 9. Endrick 77. Yaremchuk R.	13. Radu I. (G) 32. Rodriguez J. 2. Starfelt C. (C) 20. Alonso M. 17. Rueda J. 15. Vecino M. 6. Moriba I. 5. Carreira S. 30. Lopez F. 18. Duran P. 19. Swedberg W.
Substitutes
39. de Carvalho M. 40. Descamps R. (G) 11. Fofana M. 84. Hamdani A. 7. Karabec A. 62. Konan Y. (G) 5. Mangala O. 44. Merah K. 17. Moreira A. 10. Sulc P. 6. Tessmann T.	4. Aidoo J. 23. Alvarez H. 36. Antanon A. 10. Aspas I. 24. Dominguez C. 39. El Abdellaoui J. 12. Fernandez M. 9. Jutgla F. 14. Nunez A. 21. Ristic M. 22. Sotelo H. 1. Villar I. (G)
Coaches
Fonseca P.	Giraldez C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Niakhate M. 🟥,
33', Swedberg W. 🟨,
43', Starfelt C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Yaremchuk R. ↓, Tessmann T. ↑,
46', Swedberg W. ↓, Alvarez H. ↑,
46', Starfelt C. ↓, Aidoo J. ↑,
53', Lopez F. 🟨,
57', Lopez F. ↓, Jutgla F. ↑,
57', Duran P. ↓, Aspas I. ↑,
61', 0 - 1, Rueda J. ⚽, Alvarez H. (A),
67', Nartey N. ↓, Mangala O. ↑,
67', Endrick ↓, Sulc P. ↑,
67', Abner Vinicius ↓, Moreira A. ↑,
81', Vecino M. ↓, Sotelo H. ↑,
81', Tagliafico N. 🟨,
82', Morton T. ↓, Fofana M. ↑,
83', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
89', Rueda J. 🟨,
90+2', 0 - 2, Jutgla F. ⚽, Rodriguez J. (A),
90+6', Tagliafico N. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 1-1. Second leg.

Lyon is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Celta has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Celta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Lyon is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Lyon	3	2	0	1	5:6	-1	6
25	Celta Vigo	3	1	0	2	3:4	-1	3

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Lyon: 3.69% Celta Vigo: 3.33%

Last Results with these Odds

Lyon - the odds 1.99 are the expected chance of winning is 47.71%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympique Lyon
French Ligue 1
15.03.26	Le Havre - Lyon	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
12.03.26	Celta de Vigo - Lyon	1:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
08.03.26	Lyon - Paris FC	1:1 ✺
Coupe De France
05.03.26	Lyon - Lens	2:3 penalties ✺
French Ligue 1
01.03.26	Olympique Marseille - Lyon	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TTTLL
- Celta de Vigo
Spanish LaLiga
15.03.26	Betis - Celta de Vigo	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
12.03.26	Celta de Vigo - Lyon	1:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
06.03.26	Celta de Vigo - Real Madrid	1:2 ✺
01.03.26	Girona - Celta de Vigo	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
26.02.26	Celta de Vigo - PAOK	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
12.03.26	Celta de Vigo - Lyon	1:1
Club Friendly
29.07.23	Celta de Vigo - Lyon	1:0

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