Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 4

Date: 4 June 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Central Español		Colón Montevideo

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.95	2.15
	3.4	3.05	2.09
	3.5	3.23	2.04
	3.57	3.22	2.11	Watch
	3.2	2.9	2.25
	3.51	3.06	2.05	Watch
	3.4	3.05	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↑ (2.43)	3.07 ↑ (3.05)	2.11 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Español
27%

Draw
29.8%

Colón Montevideo
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

29.5%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

29.9%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Español has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Central Español's form might have worsened.

Colón Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Colón Montevideo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Español than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Central Español, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colón Montevideo than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Colón Montevideo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Central Español - Colón Montevideo Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Central Español will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Colón will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Central Español (votes: 2 - 40%). Colón (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Colón (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Central Español (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Colón (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Urrutia M. 🟥,

Preview

Central Español is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Colón has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Central Español has had a series of away games.

Colón is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Central Español
Uruguayan Segunda Division
31.05.25	Deportivo Maldonado - Central Español	0:0 ✺
23.05.25	Central Español - Oriental de La Paz	2:1 ✺
17.05.25	Uruguay Montevideo - Central Español	2:1 ✺
26.04.25	Uruguay Montevideo - Central Español	1:2 ✺
20.04.25	Cerrito - Central Español	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 TWLWW
- Colón Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
30.05.25	Colón Montevideo - Tacuarembó	2:0 ✺
24.05.25	Rentistas - Colón Montevideo	1:2 ✺
17.05.25	Colón Montevideo - La Luz	1:0 ✺
26.04.25	Tacuarembó - Colón Montevideo	1:0 ✺
20.04.25	Deportivo Maldonado - Colón Montevideo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWLL

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