Match Info

Date: 30 November 2020, Monday


	Cerro		Rentistas

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.1	2.15	Watch
	3.2	3.2	2.1	Watch
	3	3.1	2.2
	3.05	3	2.27
	3.32	3.18	2.4
	3	3	2.35
	3.08	3.24	2.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↓ (3.16)	3.12 ↓ (3.28)	2.25 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerro
29.5%

Draw
29.6%

Rentistas
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

28.3%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

19.1%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Rentistas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cerro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rentistas than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rentistas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cerro - Rentistas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 8 and 6).

Cerro is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Rentistas is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rentistas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Rentistas will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Cerro won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Cerro won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Cerro
Uruguayan Primera Division
22.11.20	Montevideo City Torque - Cerro	3:0 ✺
12.11.20	Plaza Colonia - Cerro	3:0 ✺
06.11.20	Cerro - Progreso	2:2 ✺
23.10.20	Liverpool Montevideo - Cerro	3:2 ✺
18.10.20	Cerro - Montevideo Wanderers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLTLW
- CA Rentistas
Uruguayan Primera Division
26.11.20	Rentistas - Plaza Colonia	1:0 ✺
10.11.20	Progreso - Rentistas	0:0 ✺
06.11.20	Rentistas - Cerro Largo	0:0 ✺
25.10.20	Montevideo Wanderers - Rentistas	2:2 ✺
18.10.20	Rentistas - Liverpool Montevideo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
20.09.20	Cerro - Rentistas	1:0
20.02.16	Rentistas - Cerro	0:0
29.08.15	Cerro - Rentistas	1:0
31.05.15	Cerro - Rentistas	2:0
22.11.14	Rentistas - Cerro	3:1
22.02.14	Rentistas - Cerro	4:1
15.09.13	Cerro - Rentistas	0:2

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