Match Info

Serie B - Round 37

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday

Location: Stadio Euganeo (Padova)

Referee: Collu G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Padova		Pescara

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.4	2.35	Watch
	2.7	3.5	2.37
	2.72	3.4	2.38	Watch
	2.89	3.55	2.44
	2.81	3.49	2.37	Watch
	2.7	3.3	2.38
	2.8	3.42	2.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.74)	3.44 ↑ (3.23)	2.38 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Padova
33.8%

Draw
27.1%

Pescara
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

28.9%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

28.3%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Padova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Pescara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Padova than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pescara than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	28.6%	42.9%

Padova - Pescara Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Padova will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Pescara will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Padova (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Padova (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Sorrentino A. (G) 4. Belli F. 55. Villa L. 58. Pastina C. 17. Capelli A. 8. Fusi P. 6. Crisetig L. (C) 7. Varas K. 30. Favale G. 20. Bortolussi M. 24. Caprari G.	22. Saio I. (G) 3. Letizia G. 2. Capellini R. 6. Bettella D. 32. Cagnano A. 18. Fanne L. 8. Brugman G. 14. Valzania L. 7. Meazzi L. 11. Insigne L. (C) 9. Di Nardo A.
Substitutes
13. Boi A. 92. Buonaiuto C. 23. Di Maggio L. 77. Di Mariano F. 72. Faedo C. 14. Fortin M. (G) 18. Ghiglione P. 86. Giunti G. 1. Mouquet L. (G) 5. Perrotta M. 11. Seghetti A. 41. Silva J.	15. Altare G. 5. Brandes J. 44. Brondbo M. (G) 21. Caligara F. 95. Corbo G. 19. Faraoni D. 26. Gravillon A. 20. Graziani L. 10. Merola D. 27. Olzer G. 31. Russo F. 74. Tsadjout F.
Coaches
Breda R.	Gorgone G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Di Nardo A. ↓, Russo F. ↑,
42', Cagnano A. 🟨,
45+2', Fusi P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Fanne L. ↓, Caligara F. ↑,
55', Meazzi L. ↓, Olzer G. ↑,
63', Belli F. 🟨,
65', Caprari G. ↓, Seghetti A. ↑,
66', Fusi P. ↓, Di Maggio L. ↑,
74', Bortolussi M. ↓, Di Mariano F. ↑,
79', Villa L. 🟨,
80', Russo F. (Penalty Awarded),
83', Capelli A. ↓, Ghiglione P. ↑,
83', Favale G. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
88', Valzania L. ↓, Merola D. ↑,
90', Insigne L. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 0, Pastina C. ⚽,
90+7', Merola D. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Padova won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Padova: Bacci J. (Surgery) Barreca A. (Muscle Injury) Harder J. (Muscle Injury) Lasagna K. (Muscle Injury) Papu Gomez (Inactive)

There will not play in Pescara: Desplanches S. (Hamstring Injury) Olzer G. (Inactive) Pellacani F. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Pescara: Bettella D. (Injury) Letizia G. (Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Padova won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 0.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Padova won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:9. (average 1.3:3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Padova	5	2	1	2	5:6	-1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Padova
Italian Serie B
25.04.26	Virtus Entella - Padova	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Padova - Reggiana	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Padova - Empoli	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Frosinone - Padova	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Padova - Palermo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWWLL
- Pescara
Italian Serie B
25.04.26	Pescara - Juve Stabia	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Carrarese - Pescara	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Pescara - Sampdoria	1:2 ✺
06.04.26	Reggiana - Pescara	1:3 ✺
22.03.26	Empoli - Pescara	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
29.11.25	Pescara - Padova	0:1
23.02.19	Pescara - Padova	2:0
02.10.18	Padova - Pescara	2:2
17.05.14	Padova - Pescara	2:1
20.12.13	Pescara - Padova	1:0
20.04.12	Padova - Pescara	0:6

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