Match Info

Date: 1 December 2020, Tuesday


	Châteauroux		Grenoble

	1	X	2
	3.75	3	1.95	Watch
	3.4	3.2	2.1
	3.5	3.15	2.12	Watch
	3.4	3.15	2.09
	3.69	3.31	2.17
	3.5	3.2	2.15	Watch
	3.62	3.32	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↑ (3.3)	3.19 ↑ (2.9)	2.1 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Châteauroux
26.3%

Draw
29.3%

Grenoble
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

32.1%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.7%

23.6%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Châteauroux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Grenoble has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Châteauroux than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Châteauroux that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grenoble than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grenoble could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	27.5%	52.5%

Châteauroux - Grenoble Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Châteauroux will win (votes: 8 - 20%). Grenoble will win (votes: 21 - 52.5%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 27.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grenoble: 37% – 68%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion to Ligue 1).

Châteauroux has a chance of relegated (31%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Grenoble has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of promoted (23%), has a small chance of win league (10%).

Châteauroux is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Grenoble is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Châteauroux could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Grenoble will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Châteauroux won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Châteauroux won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Châteauroux
French Ligue 2
28.11.20	Caen - Châteauroux	1:1 ✺
21.11.20	Châteauroux - Sochaux	2:1 ✺
07.11.20	Châteauroux - Pau	0:3 ✺
31.10.20	Nancy - Châteauroux	2:1 ✺
24.10.20	Châteauroux - Paris FC	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TWLLL
- Grenoble Foot 38
French Ligue 2
28.11.20	Grenoble - Paris FC	0:0 ✺
24.11.20	Grenoble - Nancy	1:0 ✺
21.11.20	Pau - Grenoble	0:2 ✺
07.11.20	Grenoble - Le Havre	2:1 ✺
17.10.20	Amiens - Grenoble	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
21.02.20	Grenoble - Châteauroux	0:1
20.09.19	Châteauroux - Grenoble	1:1
01.02.19	Châteauroux - Grenoble	2:2
24.08.18	Grenoble - Châteauroux	0:0
Club Friendly
20.07.18	Grenoble - Châteauroux	1:2

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