The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chacarita Juniors 45%
Draw 31.9%
Deportivo Maipú 23.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
45.4%
31.6%
23%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45%
31.4%
23.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chacarita Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Deportivo Maipú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
The ML Model estimate for Chacarita Juniors aligns with the current prediction.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Maipú than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Chacarita Juniors - Deportivo Maipú Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Losas F. (G) 4. Facello F. 2. Acosta S. 6. Pantaleone N. 3. Chaves N. 5. Perez T. (C) 11. Alfonzo L. 10. Guanca C. 8. Cuello A. 7. Melendez M. 9. Dominguez A.
1. Galardi N. (G) 4. Faggioli L. 2. Paulini S. 6. Aguero Gimenez A. R. 3. Fernandez N. 11. Bonfigli M. 8. Perez E. (C) 5. Gobetto J. 7. Saccone F. 10. Silva T. 9. Giacone J.
Substitutes
19. Cristaldo F. 18. Cuero M. 16. Duran D. 12. Fernandez G. (G) 14. Leyendeker M. 13. Migliore T. 15. Perdomo L. 17. Sanabria M. 20. Zarate T.
20. Cabrera L. 14. de la Reta J. 13. Ferreyra T. 17. Orosco B. 15. Ortale M. 12. Peraggini L. (G) 16. Vera A. 19. Viguet M. 18. Yavante Gaitan D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Dominguez A. ⚽, Cuello A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Silva T. ↓, Orosco B. ↑,
59', Alfonzo L. ↓, Leyendeker M. ↑,
69', Guanca C. ↓, Sanabria M. ↑,
69', Melendez M. ↓, Cuero M. ↑,
72', Fernandez N. ↓, Ortale M. ↑,
72', Bonfigli M. ↓, Viguet M. ↑,
76', Facello F. ↓, Migliore T. ↑,
77', Cuello A. ↓, Perdomo L. ↑,
81', Gobetto J. ↓, Cabrera L. ↑,
Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 17th in the Relegation and 7th in the Promotion - Primera Nacional Promotion - Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chacarita won 4.
In recent outings, Chacarita has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Deportivo Maipú is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Chacarita is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Chacarita has recorded 5 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:11 (averaging 1.6:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Chacarita against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 5:6 goals (averaging 1.3:1.5 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Chacarita Juniors - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 45.39%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
Deportivo Maipú - the odds 4.06 are the expected chance of winning is 23.03%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.