Match Info

SOUTH KOREA: KOREAN CUP - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 12 April 2023, Wednesday


	Changwon City		Jeju

	1	X	2
	9	4.5	1.3	Watch
	7.5	4.75	1.31	Watch
	7	4.5	1.35
	8.39	5.16	1.33
	9	4.5	1.29	Watch
	8.8	4.9	1.32	Watch
	8.2	4.9	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.27 ↑ (6.6)	4.74 ↑ (4.05)	1.32 ↓ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Changwon City
11.1%

Draw
19.3%

Jeju
69.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.9%

22.6%

63.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.1%

19.5%

54.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Changwon City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Jeju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jeju's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changwon City than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jeju than the current prediction. (-14.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jeju, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	14.3%	57.1%

Changwon City - Jeju Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Changwon will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Jeju will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Changwon is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Jeju United is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Changwon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Changwon have a series of home games.

In this match Jeju United is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Changwon City FC
South Korean K3 League
07.04.23	Changwon City - Chuncheon	0:1 ✺
02.04.23	Gangneung - Changwon City	0:1 ✺
South Korean Cup
30.03.23	Changwon City - Pyeongtaek Citizen	2:1 ✺
South Korean K3 League
24.03.23	Changwon City - Gyeongju KH&NP	0:0 ✺
18.03.23	Changwon City - Yangpyeong	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWWTW
- Jeju SK
South Korean K-League 1
09.04.23	Gangwon - Jeju	0:1 ✺
02.04.23	Jeju - Ulsan HD	1:3 ✺
18.03.23	Jeju - FC Seoul	1:2 ✺
12.03.23	Incheon United - Jeju	1:0 ✺
04.03.23	Daegu - Jeju	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLLT

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