The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chapecoense 16.6%
Draw 24.5%
Palmeiras 59%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
17.7%
25.3%
57%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.8%
14.5%
32.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+14.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chapecoense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (-26.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Palmeiras, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
8.3%
5.6%
86.1%
Chapecoense - Palmeiras Predictions
Users Predictions:
Palmeiras will win
(31 of 36 users predict this - 86.11%). Confidence interval (95%): 74.81% – 97.41%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores).
Chapecoense has the most likely position - 20 (64.65%), has project points - 29, has currently - 10, has a good chance of relegated (93%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Palmeiras has the most likely position - 3 (32.45%), has project points - 65, has currently - 35, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).
Two teams are playing changeable.
Chapecoense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Palmeiras have a series of home games.
In this match Palmeiras is a favorite.
Last 16 head-to-head matches Chapecoense won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 19-19.
Including matches at home between the teams Chapecoense won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-8.
Watch
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