Match Info

Date: 12 January 2021, Tuesday


	Charlton Athletic		Rochdale

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.75	5
	1.78	3.6	4.25
	1.75	3.7	4.55
	1.71	3.75	4.4
	1.73	3.95	5.03
	1.75	3.7	4.2
	1.78	4.15	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.71)	3.8 ↑ (3.73)	4.56 ↓ (4.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charlton Athletic
54.3%

Draw
24.9%

Rochdale
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

25.4%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

15.1%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charlton Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Rochdale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (-21.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Charlton Athletic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rochdale could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60.5%	13.2%	26.3%

Charlton Athletic - Rochdale Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Charlton will win (votes: 23 - 60.5%). Rochdale will win (votes: 10 - 26.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 13.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Charlton: 45% – 76%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

No spectators.

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 7 and 21 in the zone Relegation to League Two).

Charlton has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (26%), has a small chance of promoted (12%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Rochdale has a chance of relegated (35%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Charlton is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rochdale is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Charlton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Charlton is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Charlton won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Charlton won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charlton Athletic
English League One
08.01.21	Charlton Athletic - Accrington Stanley	0:2 ✺
02.01.21	Hull City - Charlton Athletic	2:0 ✺
26.12.20	Charlton Athletic - Plymouth Argyle	2:2 ✺
19.12.20	Swindon Town - Charlton Athletic	2:2 ✺
12.12.20	Charlton Athletic - AFC Wimbledon	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLTTW
- Rochdale AFC
English League One
09.01.21	Rochdale - Crewe Alexandra	3:3 ✺
19.12.20	Rochdale - Gillingham	1:4 ✺
15.12.20	Wigan Athletic - Rochdale	0:5 ✺
12.12.20	Peterborough United - Rochdale	4:1 ✺
05.12.20	Rochdale - Lincoln City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
04.05.19	Charlton Athletic - Rochdale	4:0
27.10.18	Rochdale - Charlton Athletic	1:0
05.05.18	Rochdale - Charlton Athletic	1:0
21.11.17	Charlton Athletic - Rochdale	2:1
18.02.17	Rochdale - Charlton Athletic	3:3
01.10.16	Charlton Athletic - Rochdale	0:1
21.02.12	Charlton Athletic - Rochdale	N/A

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