Match Info

Date: 5 December 2020, Saturday


	Rochdale		Lincoln City

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.5	2
	3.4	3.3	2.1
	3.6	3.35	2.1
	3.5	3.25	2.05
	3.94	3.58	2.02
	3.5	3.3	2.05
	3.64	3.6	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↑ (3.29)	3.41 ↑ (3.34)	2.06 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rochdale
26.2%

Draw
27.8%

Lincoln City
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

28.3%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.4%

21.1%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rochdale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lincoln City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rochdale - Lincoln City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Rochdale has a chance of relegated (28%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (2%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Lincoln has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (36%), has a chance of promoted (18%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).

Rochdale is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lincoln is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lincoln could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Rochdale have a series of home games.

Lincoln will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Rochdale won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Rochdale won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rochdale AFC
English League One
01.12.20	Plymouth Argyle - Rochdale	0:4 ✺
24.11.20	Rochdale - Northampton Town	1:1 ✺
21.11.20	Rochdale - AFC Wimbledon	0:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.11.20	Rochdale - Salford City	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
07.11.20	Rochdale - Chesterfield	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTLL?
- Lincoln City
English League One
01.12.20	Lincoln City - Wigan Athletic	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
28.11.20	Plymouth Argyle - Lincoln City	2:0 ✺
English League One
24.11.20	Swindon Town - Lincoln City	0:1 ✺
21.11.20	Accrington Stanley - Lincoln City	0:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
17.11.20	Lincoln City - Manchester City U21	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
17.09.19	Rochdale - Lincoln City	1:1
English EFL Trophy
09.01.18	Rochdale - Lincoln City	0:1

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