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Current Win Probability
Charlton Athletic 33.1%
Draw 31.8%
Stoke City 35.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.7%
29.6%
35.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34%
29%
36.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Charlton Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
23.5%
58.8%
17.6%
Charlton Athletic - Stoke City Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Charlton will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Stoke will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 28.1% – 78.5%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
DNB - Stoke (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - Stoke (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Stoke (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Kaminski T. (G) 2. Ramsay K. 5. Jones L. 17. Bell A. 44. Clarke H. 15. Coady C. 10. Docherty G. (C) 19. Chambers L. 14. Carey S. 24. Godden M. 99. Dykes L.
25. Simkin T. (G) 18. Lawal B. 26. Phillips A. 16. Wilmot B. (C) 3. Cresswell A. 12. Seko T. 15. N'Zonzi S. 21. Rak-Sakyi J. 19. Rigo T. 7. Thomas S. 29. Cisse L.
Substitutes
8. Berry L. 7. Campbell T. 6. Coventry C. 77. Fevrier J. 3. Gillesphey M. 23. Kelman C. 25. Mannion W. (G) 26. Rankin-Costello J. 28. Sichenje C.
10. Bae J. 17. Bocat E. 55. Curley R. 34. Fielding F. (G) 42. Manhoef M. 54. Otegbayo R. 4. Pearson B. 49. Smit M. 40. Talovierov M.
Coaches
Jones N.
Robins M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Lawal B. ↓, Talovierov M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Coady C. 🟨,
49', Thomas S. 🟨,
55', Seko T. 🟨,
55', Godden M. 🟨,
57', Rak-Sakyi J. ↓, Manhoef M. ↑,
61', Godden M. ↓, Campbell T. ↑,
74', Rigo T. ↓, Bae J. ↑,
74', Cresswell A. ↓, Bocat E. ↑,
75', Thomas S. ↓, Smit M. ↑,
78', N'Zonzi S. 🟨,
81', 1 - 0, Campbell T. ⚽, Dykes L. (A),
82', Manhoef M. 🟨,
85', Carey S. ↓, Coventry C. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 18 and 14).
Charlton has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Stoke is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Charlton: Edwards J.
(Ankle Injury)
Knibbs H.
(Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Stoke: Bazunu G.
(Thigh Injury)
Bozenik R.
(Shoulder Injury)
Gallagher S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Johansson V.
(Shoulder Injury)
Mubama D.
(Ankle Injury)
Tchamadeu J.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Charlton: Leaburn M.
(Shoulder Injury)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Charlton won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1.3:2.3).
Including home match between the teams, Charlton won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
Outrights of English League Championship for now
Charlton: 0.75%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Stoke
9
5
1
3
15:13
2
16
11
Charlton
9
3
4
2
8:11
-3
13
Last Results with these Odds
Charlton Athletic - the odds 2.68 are the expected chance of winning is 34.69%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.
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Kaminski T. (G) 
Ramsay K. 
Bell A. 
Docherty G. (C) 
Lawal B. 
Seko T. 
N'Zonzi S. 
Rigo T. 
Thomas S. 
Kelman C. 
Sichenje C. 
Bae J. 
Manhoef M. 
Talovierov M. 
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