Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 32

Date: 4 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Chaves (Chaves)

Referee: Bessa J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Ring
Croatia	SportKlub
France	beIN Sports Max
Portugal	Sport TV2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovakia	Arena sport 1
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Chaves		Porto

	1	X	2
	11	5.75	1.25	Watch
	9.75	6	1.26
	11	6	1.25	Watch
	10.55	6.11	1.28
	11.29	6.39	1.25
	10	5.8	1.25	Watch
	10.5	6.05	1.27	Watch
	9.6	6	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.46 ↑ (9.65)	6.01 ↑ (5.8)	1.26 ↓ (1.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chaves
9.1%

Draw
15.8%

Porto
75.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

9.8%

16.3%

73.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chaves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.8%	3.4%	82.8%

Chaves - Porto Predictions

Users Predictions: Porto will win (24 of 29 users predict this - 82.76%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.01% – 96.51%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Moura R. (G) 2. Sylla H. 3. Ygor Nogueira 13. Fernandes V. 40. Pius J. 28. Nwakali K. 14. Essugo D. 70. Morim H. 20. Ribeiro R. 23. Hernandez H. 77. Correia J. (C)	99. Costa D. (C) 52. Fernandes M. 97. Pedro J. 31. Otavio 55. Mendes J. 10. Conceicao F. 22. Varela A. 16. Nico 11. Pepê 30. Evanilson 9. Taremi M.
Substitutes
7. Benny 4. Bruno Rodrigues 33. Cruz S. 21. Guima 1. Hugo Souza (G) 99. Jo 9. Paulo Victor 6. Phete T. 19. Vitoria S.	28. Baro R. 70. Borges G. 2. Cardoso F. 14. Claudio Ramos (G) 19. Danny Namaso 6. Eustaquio S. 8. Grujic M. 49. Sousa G. 50. Wendell
Coaches
Morgado L.	Conceicao S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
24', Essugo D. 🟨,
24', Pius J. 🟨,
27', 0 - 1, Conceicao F. ⚽,
28', Pius J. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 2, Evanilson ⚽, Taremi M. (A),
45+4', Correia J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Sylla H. ↓, Cruz S. ↑,
60', Fernandes M. 🟨,
66', Fernandes M. ↓, Baro R. ↑,
69', Ribeiro R. ↓, Guima ↑,
70', Hernandez H. ↓, Jo ↑,
73', 0 - 3, Taremi M. (Pen),
79', Nico ↓, Eustaquio S. ↑,
80', Evanilson ↓, Danny Namaso ↑,
81', Nwakali K. ↓, Benny ↑,
83', Conceicao F. ↓, Sousa G. ↑,
83', Taremi M. ↓, Borges G. ↑,
88', Eustaquio S. 🟨,
89', Morim H. ↓, Phete T. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chaves won 0.

Chaves is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Porto is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Porto have a series of home games.

In this match Porto is certain favorite.

There will not play in Chaves: Guima (Injury) Phete T. (Injury) Pius J. (Injury) Raphael Guzzo (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Porto: Franco A. (Coach's decision) Galeno (Yellow Cards) Ivan Jaime (Coach's decision) Joao Mario (Injury) Marcano I. (Knee Injury) Martinez T. (Coach's decision) Sanchez J. (Coach's decision) Zaidu (Knee Injury)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Chaves won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 7-34.

Including matches at home between the teams Chaves won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 5-19.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desportivo Chaves
Liga Portugal
27.04.24	Casa Pia - Chaves	3:1 ✺
21.04.24	Chaves - Estoril Praia	2:2 ✺
15.04.24	Vizela - Chaves	0:1 ✺
07.04.24	Chaves - Portimonense	2:3 ✺
29.03.24	Benfica - Chaves	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LTWLL
- FC Porto
Liga Portugal
28.04.24	Porto - Sporting Lisbon	2:2 ✺
21.04.24	Casa Pia - Porto	1:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
17.04.24	Porto - Vitoria Guimarães	3:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
13.04.24	Porto - Famalicão	2:2 ✺
07.04.24	Porto - Vitoria Guimarães	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
29.12.23	Porto - Chaves	1:0
04.03.23	Chaves - Porto	1:3
Portuguese League Cup
08.12.22	Chaves - Porto	0:2
Liga Portugal
10.09.22	Porto - Chaves	3:0
Portuguese League Cup
22.12.19	Chaves - Porto	2:4
Liga Portugal
18.01.19	Chaves - Porto	1:4
Portuguese League Cup
14.09.18	Porto - Chaves	1:1

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