The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Rotherham United 43.2%
Draw 28%
Newport County 28.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
52.7%
25.2%
22.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.9%
26.3%
21.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rotherham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rotherham United's form might have worsened.
Newport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Newport County's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rotherham United than the current prediction. (+11.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rotherham United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Newport County, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
0%
33.3%
Rotherham United - Newport County Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Rotherham will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Newport will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Eyestone J. (G) 2. Rafferty J. (C) 27. Iorfa D. 26. Douglas H. 12. Hall D. 8. Spence K. 15. Fitzgerald J. 24. Buyabu J. 23. Nemane A. 22. Jellis J. 10. Mullin P.
1. Wright J. (G) 5. Jenkins L. 4. Cameron K. (C) 12. Thomas J. 22. Norman C. 24. Dibley-Dias M. 6. Brennan C. 17. Merritt A. 23. Adu Poku M. 19. Garner G. 10. Biggins H.
Substitutes
14. Aljofree S. 4. Austerfield J. 9. Bradshaw T. 1. Cann T. (G) 28. Cover B. 20. Lolos K. 5. Ngwenya K.
20. Bamba Y. 28. Etete K. 2. Evans C. 7. Evans K. 33. MacDonald S. (G) 34. Sassi D. 8. Smith M.
Coaches
Bruce A.
Mullins H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Mullin P. (Penalty Awarded),
12', 2 - 0, Nemane A. ⚽, Fitzgerald J. (A),
16', Jellis J. 🟨,
28', 2 - 1, Biggins H. (Penalty Awarded),
42', Mullin P. 🟨,
42', Garner G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Merritt A. ↓, Smith M. ↑,
54', 2 - 2, Garner G. ⚽,
60', Garner G. ↓, Etete K. ↑,
60', Adu Poku M. ↓, Bamba Y. ↑,
64', Buyabu J. ↓, Lolos K. ↑,
73', Hall D. ↓, Ngwenya K. ↑,
85', Spence K. ↓, Bradshaw T. ↑,
89', Douglas H. 🟨,
Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 23rd in the Relegation - National League and 11th).
Rotherham is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Newport has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Recently, Newport has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Rotherham is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.
Watch
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Eyestone J. (G) 
Rafferty J. (C) 
Iorfa D. 
Hall D. 
Nemane A. 
Jenkins L. 
Cameron K. (C) 
Dibley-Dias M. 
Cover B. 
Lolos K. 
Ngwenya K. 
Bruce A. 
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