Match Info

PERU: LIGA 1 - APERTURA - ROUND 17

Date: 26 May 2023, Friday

Location: Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega (Cusco)


	Cienciano		Deportivo Municipal

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.33	7	Watch
	1.43	4.2	5.5
	1.48	4.35	5.95
	1.46	4.45	6.83
	1.44	4	6.5
	1.46	4.5	6.65	Watch
	1.46	4.3	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.43)	4.3 (4.3)	6.35 ↓ (6.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cienciano
63.8%

Draw
21.6%

Deportivo Municipal
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

21.5%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.2%

20.3%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cienciano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Deportivo Municipal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Municipal than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

Cienciano - Deportivo Municipal Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Cienciano will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Municipal will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cienciano: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Vargas M. (G) 26. Riojas H. 3. Aparicio K. 13. Beltran C. (C) 17. Garro L. 19. Quintero A. 6. Ojeda A. 33. Gonzalez G. 20. Sandoval K. 21. Garces C. 10. Romagnoli J.	1. Rivadeneyra S. (G) 3. Rugel L. 2. Evangelista F. 15. Cavagna F. 4. Aguilar R. 5. Ciucci E. (C) 17. Soto D. 28. Solis L. 14. Nunes J. 32. Erustes P. 24. Olivares C.
Substitutes
1. Alvarez P. (G) 99. Colunga N. 18. Fatecha G. 7. Hurtado C. 28. Leguizamon J. 29. Medina F. 22. Ramirez S. 27. Rodriguez R. 34. Rueda E.	22. Cespedes J. 18. Flores C. 25. Guzman W. 30. Ortega Barquero F. A. 6. Pena K. 10. Perez Garcia M. 9. Ramos L. 33. Solis C. (G) 26. Toledo J.
Coaches
Moran A.	Comizzo A.

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cienciano won 2.

Recent matches Cienciano is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Municipal is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Cienciano is absolute favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Cienciano won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Cienciano won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cienciano
Peruvian Liga 1
21.05.23	Atlético Grau - Cienciano	4:0 ✺
14.05.23	Cienciano - Universidad César Vallejo	1:1 ✺
10.05.23	Cienciano - Alianza Atlético	5:2 ✺
06.05.23	Cienciano - Deportivo Garcilaso	0:0 ✺
30.04.23	ADT Tarma - Cienciano	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LTWTW
- Deportivo Municipal
Peruvian Liga 1
21.05.23	Deportivo Municipal - Sport Huancayo	1:2 ✺
15.05.23	Alianza Lima - Deportivo Municipal	2:1 ✺
05.05.23	Cusco - Deportivo Municipal	1:0 ✺
30.04.23	Deportivo Municipal - Cajamarca	2:0 ✺
24.04.23	Universidad César Vallejo - Deportivo Municipal	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
15.07.22	Deportivo Municipal - Cienciano	0:0
12.02.22	Cienciano - Deportivo Municipal	4:2
02.08.21	Cienciano - Deportivo Municipal	2:3
25.08.20	Deportivo Municipal - Cienciano	0:1
03.11.15	Deportivo Municipal - Cienciano	1:0
02.08.15	Cienciano - Deportivo Municipal	3:1
Peruvian Copa Inca
15.03.15	Cienciano - Deportivo Municipal	0:0

Cienciano - Deportivo Municipal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide