Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 34

Date: 22 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato (Cittadella)

Referee: Dionisi F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Cittadella		Genoa

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.1	1.91	Watch
	4.2	3.2	1.9
	4.2	3.1	1.95
	4.83	3.27	1.93
	4	3.1	2
	4.65	3.13	1.92	Watch
	4.3	3.15	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.42 ↑ (3.46)	3.15 ↑ (2.98)	1.93 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cittadella
21.3%

Draw
29.9%

Genoa
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

31.2%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

29.8%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cittadella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cittadella's form might have worsened.

Genoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Genoa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.5%	22.7%	72.7%

Cittadella - Genoa Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Cittadella will win (votes: 1 - 4.5%). Genoa will win (votes: 16 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 22.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Genoa: 54.1% – 91.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Cittadella has the most likely position - 16 (23.08%), project points - 42, currently - 37, a chance of relegated (37%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.

Genoa has the most likely position - 2 (72.03%), project points - 72, currently - 64, not chance of relegated, a very small chance of prom. playoffs (5%), a very good chance of promoted (97%), a chance of win league (23%).

This event has quality 33, big importance 72, match rating 53. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Cittadella is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Genoa is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Genoa is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Cittadella won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Cittadella
Italian Serie B
15.04.23	Nuova Cosenza - Cittadella	1:1 ✺
10.04.23	Cittadella - Parma	0:1 ✺
02.04.23	Modena - Cittadella	0:0 ✺
18.03.23	Cittadella - Perugia	0:2 ✺
11.03.23	Cittadella - Palermo	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLTLT
- Genoa CFC
Italian Serie B
15.04.23	Genoa - Perugia	2:0 ✺
10.04.23	Como - Genoa	2:2 ✺
31.03.23	Genoa - Reggina	1:0 ✺
18.03.23	Brescia - Genoa	0:3 ✺
12.03.23	Genoa - Ternana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
04.12.22	Genoa - Cittadella	0:1

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