Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 29

Date: 12 March 2023, Sunday

Location: Stadio Luigi Ferraris (Genoa)

Referee: Camplone G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Genoa		Ternana

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.8	6	Watch
	1.53	3.9	6
	1.52	4	6.5
	1.54	3.75	6.2
	1.57	4.02	6.51
	1.53	3.7	7
	1.55	4	6.15	Watch
	1.54	3.9	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.57)	3.88 ↑ (3.65)	6.32 ↑ (5.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Genoa
60.9%

Draw
24.2%

Ternana
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

25.3%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

24.8%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Genoa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Ternana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Genoa than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Genoa - Ternana Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Genoa will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%). Ternana will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Genoa: 52.1% – 90.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 13).

Genoa has the most likely position - 2 (65.94%), has project points - 68, has currently - 51, has not chance of relegated, has a chance of prom. playoffs (29%), has a good chance of promoted (81%), has a very small chance of win league (5%).

Ternana has the most likely position - 14 (12.7%), has project points - 47, has currently - 36, has a small chance of relegated (12%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (10%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 34, importance 44, match rating 39. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Genoa is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ternana is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Genoa is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Genoa to win the game is with odds 1.54.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Genoa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Genoa CFC
Italian Serie B
06.03.23	Genoa - Nuova Cosenza	4:0 ✺
01.03.23	Cagliari - Genoa	0:0 ✺
25.02.23	Genoa - SPAL	3:0 ✺
19.02.23	Modena - Genoa	2:2 ✺
10.02.23	Genoa - Palermo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WTWTW
- Ternana Calcio
Italian Serie B
05.03.23	Ternana - Benevento	2:2 ✺
28.02.23	Palermo - Ternana	0:0 ✺
25.02.23	Ternana - Cittadella	1:2 ✺
18.02.23	Perugia - Ternana	3:0 ✺
11.02.23	Ternana - Parma	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
22.10.22	Ternana - Genoa	1:2

Upcoming Matches