Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 5

Date: 30 November 2023, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV3
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	Olimpija Ljubljana		Lille

	1	X	2
	5.25	4	1.6
	4.75	3.8	1.61
	5	4	1.65	Watch
	5.2	3.99	1.65
	5.15	3.99	1.65
	4.6	3.9	1.67
	4.95	4	1.64
	5.2	4.2	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.01 ↑ (4.61)	3.99 ↑ (3.9)	1.64 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpija Ljubljana
18.8%

Draw
23.6%

Lille
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.3%

24.1%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3%

24.1%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpija Ljubljana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpija Ljubljana than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Olimpija Ljubljana - Lille Predictions

Users Predictions: Lille will win (21 of 24 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.27% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Pintol D. (G) 8. Lasickas J. 14. Ratnik M. 16. Muhamedbegovic A. 3. Sualehe D. 10. Elsnik T. M. (C) 34. Doffo A. 99. Rui Pedro 18. Brest M. 17. Bristric A. 20. Motika N.	30. Chevalier L. (G) 22. Santos T. 15. Yoro L. 14. Umtiti S. 5. Gudmundsson G. 21. Andre B. (C) 6. Bentaleb N. 23. Zhegrova E. 33. Bouaddi A. 10. Cabella R. 12. Yazici Y.
Substitutes
23. Costa Pinto D. 11. Fadida S. 26. Jankovic V. 6. Karamatic M. 82. Kasa R. 43. Krefl A. 31. Mauricio Z. (G) 25. Mijailovic M. 9. Nukic M. 21. Posavec I. 37. Schwaizer P. L. 2. Silva J.	4. Alexsandro 9. David J. 35. Faiz A. 38. Ferrah I. 8. Gomes A. 7. Haraldsson H. 1. Mannone V. (G) 40. Negrel T. (G) 36. Toure O. 26. Virginius A.
Coaches
Zeljkovic Z.	Fonseca P.

Preview

Olimpija in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Lille is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Olimpija could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Lille is a favorite.

There will not play in Lille: Diakite B. (Broken Leg) Djalo T. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Olimpija: Vidovsek M. (Shoulder Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Olimpija won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Olimpija Ljubljana
Slovenian PrvaLiga
25.11.23	Radomlje - Olimpija Ljubljana	0:2 ✺
Slovenian Cup
22.11.23	Olimpija Ljubljana - Rudar Velenje	4:1 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
12.11.23	Olimpija Ljubljana - Mura	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
09.11.23	Olimpija Ljubljana - KÍ Klaksvík	2:0 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
05.11.23	Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWWWW
- OSC Lille
French Ligue 1
26.11.23	Lyon - Lille	0:2 ✺
12.11.23	Lille - Toulouse	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
09.11.23	Slovan Bratislava - Lille	1:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
04.11.23	Olympique Marseille - Lille	0:0 ✺
29.10.23	Lille - Monaco	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
20.09.23	Lille - Olimpija Ljubljana	2:0

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