The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Club América 49.7%
Draw 26.6%
Monterrey 23.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.1%
25.4%
23.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.8%
24.8%
24.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Club América has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
Monterrey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club América than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterrey than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Club América - Monterrey Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 10th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América won 2.
Recent results have been tough for América (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Monterrey have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
América may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, América has faced a series of away games on the road.
Bookmakers give the edge to América for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, América has recorded 7 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:26 (averaging 1.2:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for América against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 13:13 goals (averaging 1.3:1.3 per game).
Outrights of Mexican Liga MX for now
Club America: 16.97% Monterrey: 6.93%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Club America
9
6
2
1
21:10
11
20
10
Monterrey
9
4
1
4
16:14
2
13
Last Results with these Odds
Club América - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 51.15%, but this team recently wins 68% of matches with these odds.
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