The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+
Current Win Probability
Colchester United 20.6%
Draw 23%
Luton Town 56.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.8%
23.8%
57.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.4%
23.3%
58.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Colchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colchester United than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Colchester United - Luton Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
#ad
Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Lo-Tutala T. (G) 44. Kuffour S. 6. Digby P. 24. Terry F. 3. Iandolo E. (C) 47. Harvey R. 4. Perry B. 12. Sesay M. 27. Thorn O. 15. Lubala B. 14. Kouassi K.
1. Shea J. (G) 33. Ashby H. 2. Odoffin H. 3. Naismith K. (C) 22. Fox H. 8. Walsh L. 17. Mendel-Idowu T. 18. Clark J. 7. Richards J. 30. Kodua G. 44. Cole D.
Substitutes
11. Chiwome L. 39. Connolly K. 2. Hunt R. 9. Ihionvien B. 31. Roberts O. (G) 5. Tucker J. 17. Williams J.
5. Andersen M. 49. Gawel D. 16. Gore D. 6. Johnston G. 11. Lawrence E. 48. Lorentzen-Jones J. 41. Thomas L. (G)
Coaches
Cowley D.
Wilshere J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Kodua G. ↓, Lawrence E. ↑,
45+2', Cowley D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Naismith K. ↓, Andersen M. ↑,
46', Odoffin H. ↓, Johnston G. ↑,
56', Perry B. 🟨,
61', Iandolo E. ↓, Tucker J. ↑,
61', Perry B. ↓, Hunt R. ↑,
61', Lubala B. ↓, Williams J. ↑,
68', Terry F. 🟨,
70', Walsh L. ↓, Gore D. ↑,
71', Kouassi K. ↓, Ihionvien B. ↑,
71', Sesay M. ↓, Connolly K. ↑,
76', Connolly K. 🟨,
80', Harvey R. 🟨,
87', 0 - 1, Cole D. ⚽, Lawrence E. (A),
90', 1 - 1, Ihionvien B. ⚽,
Penalties (3 - 4)
1, Ihionvien B. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Clark J. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Terry F. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Gore D. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Digby P. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Cole D. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Williams J. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Richards J. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Connolly K. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Andersen M. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Recent results have been tough for Colchester (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Luton has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Colchester may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Luton has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
In this matchup, Luton is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Colchester has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 7:7 (averaging 1.4:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Colchester against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:2 goals (averaging 2:1 per game).
Watch
#ad
Lo-Tutala T. (G) 
Kuffour S. 
Lubala B. 
Ashby H. 
Andersen M. 
Gawel D. 
