Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 12

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio de Colegiales (Buenos Aires)


	Colegiales		San Martín de San Juan

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.82	3.9	Watch
	2.1	2.8	3.7
	2.12	2.78	3.8	Watch
	2.27	2.89	3.97
	2.2	2.8	3.95	Watch
	2.15	2.7	3.9
	2.13	2.72	3.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.94)	2.79 (2.79)	3.86 ↑ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colegiales
42.8%

Draw
33.2%

San Martín de San Juan
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

33.5%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

33.1%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colegiales has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Colegiales's performance.

San Martín de San Juan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Martín de San Juan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colegiales than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Colegiales that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de San Juan than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Martín de San Juan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Colegiales - San Martín de San Juan Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - San Martín (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. San Martín (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Di Fulvio E. (G) 4. Malagueno F. 2. Rivero F. 6. Ortiz L. 3. Hanashiro F. 8. Ocampo E. 5. Marin F. 10. Zicarelli F. 11. Trinidad E. 7. Gonzalez L. 9. Monserrat R. E.	1. Diaz Robles S. (G) 4. Nadalin F. 2. Aguilera E. 3. Zuliani H. 6. Cocca M. 8. Monje L. 5. Pelaitay N. 7. Jaurena S. 10. Gonzalez S. 9. Funez N. 11. Juncos B.
Substitutes
19. Albertengo M. 12. Alcorcel A. (G) 18. Castillo L. 15. Chiavetto A. 13. Insua E. 17. Juarez L. 14. Martinez Montagnoli L. 16. Montiel F. 20. Toloza N.	15. Acosta G. 18. Aguero L. 16. Hachen G. 17. Iachetti N. 19. Lattanzio C. 14. Lucero G. 13. Osores M. 20. Rossi G. 12. Velazco M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Zicarelli F. ⚽,
28', Monje L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Monje L. ↓, Acosta G. ↑,
61', Gonzalez L. ↓, Castillo L. ↑,
61', Monserrat R. E. ↓, Toloza N. ↑,
66', Pelaitay N. ↓, Hachen G. ↑,
66', Juncos B. ↓, Rossi G. ↑,
75', Jaurena S. ↓, Iachetti N. ↑,
76', Zicarelli F. ↓, Montiel F. ↑,
76', Trinidad E. ↓, Albertengo M. ↑,
84', 2 - 0, Toloza N. ⚽, Albertengo M. (A),
85', Zuliani H. ↓, Osores M. ↑,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

San Martín may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Colegiales
Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.04.26	Nueva Chicago - Colegiales	0:0 ✺
19.04.26	Colegiales - Temperley	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Deportivo Maipú - Colegiales	3:1 ✺
04.04.26	Colegiales - Club Almagro	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Colegiales - San Miguel	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TTLWT
- San Martín de San Juan
Argentinian Primera Nacional
25.04.26	San Martín de San Juan - Quilmes	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Ferrocarril Midland - San Martín de San Juan	0:1 ✺
13.04.26	San Martín de San Juan - Atlanta Buenos Aires	1:2 ✺
03.04.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - San Martín de San Juan	1:1 ✺
27.03.26	San Martín de San Juan - Racing de Córdoba	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWLTT

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