Match Info

Date: 22 June 2021, Tuesday


	Confiança		Vila Nova

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3	3.5
	1.97	3.1	3.5	Watch
	1.97	3.05	4
	2.06	3.21	4.23
	2	2.9	4
	2.22	3.05	3.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.35)	3.05 ↓ (3.09)	3.8 ↑ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Confiança
45.3%

Draw
30.3%

Vila Nova
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

30.8%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

22.8%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Confiança has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Confiança, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Confiança - Vila Nova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C and 14).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Vila Nova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Confiança will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Confiança won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Confiança won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Confiança Aracaju
Brazilian Serie B
19.06.21	Sampaio Corrêa - Confiança	3:1 ✺
15.06.21	Confiança - Brasil de Pelotas	1:1 ✺
12.06.21	CRB Maceio - Confiança	3:2 ✺
04.06.21	Goiás - Confiança	2:0 ✺
29.05.21	Confiança - Cruzeiro	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LTLLW
- Vila Nova FC
Brazilian Serie B
19.06.21	Vila Nova - Coritiba	0:1 ✺
15.06.21	Náutico Capibaribe - Vila Nova	2:0 ✺
12.06.21	Vila Nova - CS Alagoano	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
09.06.21	Bahia - Vila Nova	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
06.06.21	Avaí - Vila Nova	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
17.09.15	Vila Nova - Confiança	1:2
06.07.15	Confiança - Vila Nova	0:0

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