The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Corinthians 55.7%
Draw 27.3%
Grêmio Novorizontino 17%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.4%
24.6%
13.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.2%
23.9%
13.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Corinthians's form might have worsened.
Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Corinthians, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
25%
50%
Corinthians - Grêmio Novorizontino Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Corinthians will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Novorizontino will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
80. Alex Santana 19. Carrillo A. 35. Charles Rigon 22. Hernandez H. 47. Joao Pedro 31. Kayke 33. Leo Mana 70. Martinez J. 21. Matheus Bidu 32. Matheus Donelli (G) 37. Ryan 43. Talles Magno
17. Bruno Jose 14. Gabriel Correia 31. Igor Formiga 93. Jordi (G) 9. Lucca 6. Luis Oyama 7. Pablo Dyego 88. Patrick Brey 18. Pedro Balotelli 22. Ruiz O.
Coaches
Dorival Junior
Umberto Louzer
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Willian Farias 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
66', Angel Romero ↓, Carrillo A. ↑,
67', Breno Bidon ↓, Talles Magno ↑,
69', Willian Farias ↓, Ruiz O. ↑,
69', Waguininho ↓, Pablo Dyego ↑,
77', Matheus Frizzo ↓, Lucca ↑,
78', Rodrigo Soares ↓, Igor Formiga ↑,
82', Igor Coronado ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
82', Jean Irmer ↓, Luis Oyama ↑,
87', Marlon 🟨,
90+2', Maycon 🟨,
90+2', Maycon ↓, Charles Rigon ↑,
90+3', 1 - 0, Yuri Alberto ⚽,
90+5', 🟨,
Preview
1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 4.
Corinthians is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Novorizontino has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Corinthians may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Corinthians is seen as the favorite.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Corinthians won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 1.2:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).
Brazil
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Hugo Souza (G) 
Torres F. 
Angileri F. 
Angel Romero (C) 
Carrillo A. 
Hernandez H. 
Martinez J. 
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