Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 6

Date: 27 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Neo Quimica Arena (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Herrera A. (Ven)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, FOX Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Bolivia	ESPN 7
Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Paramount+, Sky+, TV Globo, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 7
Ecuador	ESPN 7
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	Como TV
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 4
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Paraguay	ESPN 7
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 7
Portugal	Sport TV2
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 7, Inter


	Corinthians		Platense

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.4	5.5	Watch
	1.37	4.5	8.75
	1.72	3.35	4.95	Watch
	1.76	3.36	5.78
	1.71	3.44	5.51	Watch
	1.7	3.2	4.75
	1.8	3.42	5.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.37)	3.52 ↓ (4.43)	5.77 ↓ (8.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Corinthians
56.5%

Draw
27%

Platense
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.1%

21.1%

10.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.9%

20.6%

10.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Corinthians's form might have worsened.

Platense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Platense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Corinthians, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Platense than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Platense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.7%	10%	63.3%

Corinthians - Platense Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Corinthians will win (votes: 8 - 26.7%). Platense will win (votes: 19 - 63.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Platense: 46.1% – 80.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Platense (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Platense will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Platense (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hugo Souza (G) 2. Matheuzinho 3. Gabriel Paulista 13. Gustavo Henrique 21. Matheus Bidu 29. Allan 14. Raniele 7. Breno Bidon 8. Garro R. (C) 9. Yuri Alberto 10. Depay M.	20. Borgogno M. (G) 4. Lagos A. 13. Vazquez I. (C) 31. Victor Cuesta 3. Silva T. 24. Barrios M. 33. Gauto J. 5. Gomez I. 15. Amarfil M. 10. Zapiola F. 43. Retamar K.
Substitutes
49. Andre 5. Andre Ramalho 26. Angileri F. 19. Carrillo A. 61. Dieguinho 37. Kaio Cesar 51. Kaue (G) 52. Labyad Z. 77. Lingard J. 20. Milans P. 18. Pedro Raul 23. Pereira M.	19. Bobadilla H. 17. Bussio F. 27. Dalmasso S. 23. Heredia L. 99. Lencina G. 34. Mendia M. 18. Merlini B. 32. Quiros S. 6. Raggio E. 25. Saborido J. 22. Sumavil N. (G) 28. Tucker M.
Coaches
Diniz F.	Zunino W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Lagos A. 🟨,
21', 0 - 1, Zapiola F. (Penalty Awarded),
33', Gauto J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Depay M. ↓, Kaio Cesar ↑,
46', Raniele ↓, Labyad Z. ↑,
46', Lagos A. ↓, Saborido J. ↑,
46', Gauto J. ↓, Mendia M. ↑,
47', Matheuzinho 🟨,
57', 0 - 2, Zapiola F. ⚽,
64', Allan 🟨,
66', Allan ↓, Carrillo A. ↑,
76', Retamar K. ↓, Heredia L. ↑,
82', Yuri Alberto ↓, Pedro Raul ↑,
82', Garro R. ↓, Lingard J. ↑,
87', Zapiola F. ↓, Quiros S. ↑,
90+4', Gomez I. ↓, Dalmasso S. ↑,

Preview

Corinthians is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Corinthians is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Platense has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Platense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Platense has had a series of home games.

In this match, Corinthians is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Corinthians: Hugo (Knee Injury) Joao Pedro (Muscle Injury) Kayke (Knee Injury) Vitinho (Hip Injury)

There will not play in Platense: Goni G. (Muscle Injury) Ingenthron C. (Knee Injury) Luna Diale M. (Inactive) Mainero G. (Yellow Cards) Minerva F. (Muscle Injury) Nasif T. (Knee Injury) Portillo M. (Muscle Injury) Victor Cuesta (Inactive)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Corinthians won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Outrights of Copa Libertadores for now

Corinthians: 4.57% Platense: 0.75%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corinthians
Brazilian Serie A
24.05.26	Corinthians - Atlético Mineiro	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
21.05.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Corinthians	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
17.05.26	Botafogo RJ - Corinthians	3:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
14.05.26	Corinthians - Barra Santa Catarina	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
10.05.26	Corinthians - São Paulo	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTLWW
- CA Platense
Copa Libertadores
19.05.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Platense	2:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
13.05.26	Platense - San Martín de San Juan	1:0 penalties ✺
Copa Libertadores
07.05.26	Platense - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.05.26	Platense - Estudiantes La Plata	0:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
29.04.26	Platense - Independiente Santa Fe	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
09.04.26	Platense - Corinthians	0:2

Upcoming Matches