Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 5

Date: 21 May 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Campeón del Siglo (Montevideo) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Maza P. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	21:30	Disney+, FOX Sports 2
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	10:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Bolivia	20:30	ESPN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	02:30	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	21:30	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	20:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	20:30	Disney+
Colombia	19:30	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	02:30	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Ecuador	19:30	ESPN
Georgia	04:30	Silk Universal
Israel	03:30	Sport 3
Italy	02:30	Como TV
Kosovo	02:30	Arena Premium 3
Mexico	18:30	Disney+, ESPN 2
Netherlands	02:30	Canal+, ESPN
New Zealand	12:30	beIN Connect
Paraguay	20:30	ESPN
Peru	19:30	Disney+, ESPN
Portugal	01:30	Sport TV1, Sport TV2
Serbia	02:30	Arena Premium 3
Uruguay	21:30	Disney+
Usa	20:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	20:30	Disney+, ESPN, Inter


	Peñarol de Montevideo		Corinthians

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.9	3.3	Watch
	2.75	2.95	2.65
	2.42	2.88	3.25	Watch
	2.47	2.98	3.4
	2.47	2.82	3.41	Watch
	2.4	2.75	3.25
	2.47	2.94	3.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (2.64)	2.89 ↓ (3.07)	3.23 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peñarol de Montevideo
38.1%

Draw
32.7%

Corinthians
29.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.8%

30.8%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

31.7%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peñarol de Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	66.7%	16.7%

Peñarol de Montevideo - Corinthians Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Peñarol will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Corinthians will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Aguerre W. (G) 2. Escobar F. 4. Gularte E. 3. Lemos M. 15. Olivera M. (C) 21. Jesus Trindade 13. Darias E. 32. Umpierrez L. 93. Laxalt D. 23. Togni G. 19. Arezo M.	1. Hugo Souza (G) 20. Milans P. 3. Gabriel Paulista 13. Gustavo Henrique (C) 26. Angileri F. 29. Allan 49. Andre 37. Kaio Cesar 23. Pereira M. 52. Labyad Z. 18. Pedro Raul
Substitutes
22. Alvez F. 77. Angulo L. 18. Barbas G. 36. Barboza B. 9. Batista F. 1. Britos S. (G) 11. Hernandez A. 27. Lucas Hernandez 30. Muhlethaler S. 16. Olase T. 5. Remedi E. 14. Rodriguez K.	5. Andre Ramalho 7. Breno Bidon 19. Carrillo A. 35. Charles Rigon 61. Dieguinho 8. Garro R. 56. Gui Negao 51. Kaue (G) 77. Lingard J. 2. Matheuzinho 14. Raniele 9. Yuri Alberto
Coaches
Aguirre D.	Diniz F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Olivera M. ⚽, Jesus Trindade (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Gularte E. ↓, Alvez F. ↑,
60', Darias E. ↓, Angulo L. ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Labyad Z. ⚽,
71', Alvez F. ↓, Barboza B. ↑,
71', Arezo M. ↓, Batista F. ↑,
71', Laxalt D. ↓, Hernandez A. ↑,
73', Pereira M. ↓, Garro R. ↑,
74', Pedro Raul ↓, Yuri Alberto ↑,
74', Labyad Z. ↓, Lingard J. ↑,
84', Kaio Cesar ↓, Dieguinho ↑,

Preview

Corinthians is Qualified for Copa Libertadores (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Peñarol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Peñarol: Angulo L. (Injury) Cabrera J. (Inactive) Darias E. (Inactive) Fernandez L. (Injury) Ferreira L. (Yellow Cards) Gonzalez F. (Inactive) Gularte E. (Inactive) Herrera N. (Injury)

There will not play in Corinthians: Charles Rigon (Heel Injury) Depay M. (Thigh Injury) Joao Pedro (Muscle Injury) Kayke (Knee Injury) Vitinho (Hip Injury)

There are questionable in Peñarol: Remedi E. (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Peñarol won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peñarol de Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
16.05.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Liverpool Montevideo	2:1 ✺
11.05.26	Cerro Largo - Peñarol de Montevideo	2:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
07.05.26	Platense - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
04.05.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Defensor Sporting	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
30.04.26	Corinthians - Peñarol de Montevideo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWTTL
- Corinthians
Brazilian Serie A
17.05.26	Botafogo RJ - Corinthians	3:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
14.05.26	Corinthians - Barra Santa Catarina	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
10.05.26	Corinthians - São Paulo	3:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
06.05.26	Independiente Santa Fe - Corinthians	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
03.05.26	Mirassol - Corinthians	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
30.04.26	Corinthians - Peñarol de Montevideo	2:0
Copa Sudamericana
13.05.21	Peñarol de Montevideo - Corinthians	4:0
29.04.21	Corinthians - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:2

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