Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 9

Date: 7 June 2024, Friday

Location: Estádio Couto Pereira (Curitiba)

Referee: Ribeiro Serafim D. (Bra)


	Coritiba		Ituano

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.2	6.5	Watch
	1.46	4	6.5
	1.45	4	7.5
	1.46	4.1	8.4
	1.46	4.09	8.27
	1.44	4	7.5
	1.45	4.15	7.4	Watch
	1.47	4	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.4)	4.07 ↓ (4.29)	7.33 ↓ (7.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coritiba
64.2%

Draw
23%

Ituano
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.6%

21.7%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.5%

20.8%

11.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coritiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Ituano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Coritiba, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Coritiba - Ituano Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Coritiba will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
72. Pedro Morisco (G) 43. Jhonny 5. Mauricio Antonio (C) 26. Bruno Melo 6. Rodrigo Gelado 15. Fransergio 40. Everton Morelli 10. Matheus Frizzo 98. Lucas Ronier 9. Leandro Damiao 22. Figueiredo	12. Jefferson Paulino (C) 2. Leo Duarte 3. Claudinho 4. Walber 5. Jose Aldo 8. Miqueias 10. Yann Rolim 7. Vinicius Paiva 11. Leozinho 9. Thonny Anderson 6. Marlinho
Substitutes
67. Benassi (G) 4. Benevenuto 21. Brandao 38. Geovane Meurer 70. Guimaraes F. 83. Jamerson 47. Jean Pedroso 18. Matheus Bianqui 14. Thalisson 36. Vini Paulista 57. Wesley Pomba 17. Yago Ferreira	21. Bruno Alves 17. Bruno Xavier 16. Eduardo Diniz 20. Eduardo Person 18. Gabriel Falcao 22. Jean Pyerre 13. Leo Oliveira 14. Pedro Libardoni 19. Salatiel 15. Vitao 1. Wesley Borges (G) 23. Ze Eduardo
Coaches
Freitas J.	Alberto Valentim

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Rodrigo Gelado ⚽, Figueiredo (A),
15', Rodrigo Gelado 🟨,
19', 2 - 0, Matheus Frizzo ⚽, Fransergio (A),
32', Leandro Damiao 🟨,
45+1', 3 - 0, Leandro Damiao ⚽, Lucas Ronier (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Marlinho ↓, Eduardo Diniz ↑,
52', 3 - 1, Yann Rolim ⚽, Leo Duarte (A),
56', Rodrigo Gelado ↓, Jamerson ↑,
56', Fransergio ↓, Matheus Bianqui ↑,
66', Jose Aldo ↓, Eduardo Person ↑,
66', Leozinho ↓, Bruno Xavier ↑,
67', Jhonny ↓, Guimaraes F. ↑,
67', Matheus Frizzo ↓, Wesley Pomba ↑,
67', Leandro Damiao ↓, Brandao ↑,
70', 4 - 1, Brandao ⚽, Lucas Ronier (A),
78', Yann Rolim ↓, Gabriel Falcao ↑,
78', Thonny Anderson ↓, Salatiel ↑,
80', 4 - 2, Vinicius Paiva ⚽,
90+6', Bruno Xavier 🟨,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Coritiba is certain favorite.

There will not play in Coritiba: Arilson (Injury) Robson (Injury)

There will not play in Ituano: Lipe (Injury) Neto Berola (Injury) Pablo (Injury) Ze Carlos (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coritiba
Brazilian Serie B
31.05.24	Ceará - Coritiba	1:0 ✺
27.05.24	Coritiba - Operário Ferroviario	3:0 ✺
17.05.24	Grêmio Novorizontino - Coritiba	0:0 ✺
14.05.24	Coritiba - Guarani	1:0 ✺
11.05.24	Avaí - Coritiba	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWTWL
- Ituano
Brazilian Serie B
02.06.24	Ituano - Avaí	0:1 ✺
26.05.24	Ituano - Ponte Preta	2:0 ✺
19.05.24	Mirassol - Ituano	2:0 ✺
15.05.24	Ituano - Sport Recife	1:0 ✺
10.05.24	Goiás - Ituano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWLWL

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