Match Info

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 31

Date: 5 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: Coventry Building Society Arena (Coventry)

Referee: Whitestone D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Paramount+


	Coventry City		Leeds United

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.6	1.83	Watch
	4.2	3.6	1.83
	4.28	3.57	1.86	Watch
	4.45	3.72	1.85
	4.29	3.64	1.84	Watch
	4.2	3.6	1.85
	4.2	3.64	1.86	Watch
	4.28	3.57	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.25 ↓ (4.28)	3.62 ↓ (3.78)	1.85 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coventry City
22.3%

Draw
26.3%

Leeds United
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.1%

25.1%

52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.4%

27.2%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coventry City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Leeds United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coventry City than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leeds United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.7%	18.4%	57.9%

Coventry City - Leeds United Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Coventry will win (votes: 9 - 25%). Leeds will win (votes: 21 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leeds: 42.2% – 74.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dovin O. (G) 4. Thomas B. 22. Latibeaudiere J. 15. Kitching L. 27. van Ewijk M. 29. Torp V. 8. Allen J. (C) 5. Rudoni J. 21. Bidwell J. 23. Thomas-Asante B. 9. Simms E.	1. Meslier I. (G) 2. Bogle J. 6. Rodon J. 4. Ampadu E. (C) 3. Firpo J. 44. Gruev I. 22. Tanaka A. 7. James D. 11. Aaronson B. 14. Solomon M. 10. Piroe J.
Substitutes
37. Bassette N. 2. Binks L. 17. Borges Rodrigues R. 32. Burroughs J. 40. Collins B. (G) 3. Dasilva J. 28. Eccles J. 6. Grimes M. 7. Sakamoto T.	25. Byram S. 26. Darlow K. (G) 29. Gnonto W. 23. Guilavogui J. 19. Joseph M. 17. Ramazani L. 8. Rothwell J. 5. Struijk P. 39. Wober M.
Coaches
Lampard F.	Farke D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
17', 0 - 1, Piroe J. ⚽, Solomon M. (A),
26', 0 - 2, Bogle J. ⚽,
39', Ampadu E. 🟨,
39', Bidwell J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Thomas-Asante B. ↓, Sakamoto T. ↑,
62', Allen J. ↓, Grimes M. ↑,
78', Solomon M. ↓, Ramazani L. ↑,
78', Torp V. ↓, Eccles J. ↑,
78', Bidwell J. ↓, Dasilva J. ↑,
84', Rudoni J. ↓, Borges Rodrigues R. ↑,
86', Piroe J. ↓, Joseph M. ↑,
86', James D. ↓, Gnonto W. ↑,
90+1', Tanaka A. ↓, Guilavogui J. ↑,
90+1', Aaronson B. ↓, Struijk P. ↑,
90+4', Sakamoto T. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Two teams got a triumph in the latest matches.

Leeds could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Leeds have a series of home games.

In this match Leeds is a favorite.

There will not play in Leeds: Bamford P. (Hamstring Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Coventry won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:6 (average 1.3:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Coventry won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 2:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Leeds United - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 52.76%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coventry City
English League Championship
01.02.25	Swansea City - Coventry City	0:2 ✺
25.01.25	Coventry City - Watford	2:1 ✺
21.01.25	Blackburn Rovers - Coventry City	0:2 ✺
18.01.25	Coventry City - Bristol City	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
11.01.25	Coventry City - Sheffield Wednesday	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWWWW
- Leeds United
English League Championship
01.02.25	Leeds United - Cardiff City	7:0 ✺
27.01.25	Burnley - Leeds United	0:0 ✺
22.01.25	Leeds United - Norwich City	2:0 ✺
19.01.25	Leeds United - Sheffield Wednesday	3:0 ✺
English FA Cup
11.01.25	Leeds United - Harrogate Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
28.09.24	Leeds United - Coventry City	3:0
06.04.24	Coventry City - Leeds United	2:1
16.12.23	Leeds United - Coventry City	1:1
14.02.12	Coventry City - Leeds United	2:1

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