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Burnley - Leeds United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • Premier League - Round 8
  • Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday
  • Location: Turf Moor (Burnley)
  • Referee: Robinson T. (Eng)
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    Burnley Leeds United
    Burnley Leeds United
    1 X 2
    #Advertisement. GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ 3.4 3.25 2.15
    betsson 3.35 3.25 2.28
    Bet_in_Asia 3.61 3.3 2.25
    GGBet 3.27 3.30 2.26 Watch and Bet Watch
    BetNow 3.41 3.37 2.35 Watch and Bet Watch
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.41 ↑
    (3.27)    		 3.29 ↓
    (3.3)    		 2.26
    (2.26)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

    • The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

    #Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

    Current Win Probability

    Burnley
    28.2%    		Draw
    29.2%    		Leeds United
    42.6%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    29.1% 28.8% 42.1%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    28.4% 29.5% 43.1%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Burnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Leeds United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    31.6% 28.9% 39.5%

    Burnley - Leeds United Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Burnley will win (votes: 12 - 32.4%). Leeds will win (votes: 15 - 40.5%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 27%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Leeds: 24.7% – 56.3%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Leeds (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Burnley (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Burnley (votes: 1 - 25%). Leeds (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
      1. SlovakiaDubravka M. (G)
      2. EnglandWalker K.
      6. DRTuanzebe A.
      5. FranceEsteve M.
      3. NetherlandsHartman Q.
      8. FranceUgochukwu L.
    16. PortugalFlorentino
      7. DenmarkBruun Larsen J.
    24. IrelandCullen J. (C)
    11. EnglandAnthony J.
    19. NetherlandsFlemming Z.
    		26. WalesDarlow K. (G)
      2. EnglandBogle J.
      6. WalesRodon J.
      5. NetherlandsStruijk P.
      3. SwedenGudmundsson G.
      8. EnglandLongstaff S.
      4. WalesAmpadu E. (C)
    18. GermanyStach A.
    11. USAAaronson B.
      9. EnglandCalvert-Lewin D.
    20. EnglandHarrison J.
    Substitutes
    35. EnglandBarnes A.
    27. AlbaniaBroja A.
    10. EnglandEdwards M.
    18. SwedenEkdal H.
    29. EnglandLaurent J.
    23. BrazilLucas Pires
    28. TunisiaMejbri H.
    17. FranceTchaouna L.
    13. GermanyWeiss M. (G)
    		15. SloveniaBijol J.
    23. BelgiumBornauw S.
    44. BulgariaGruev I.
      7. WalesJames D.
    24. EnglandJustin J.
      1. BrazilLucas Perri (G)
    14. GermanyNmecha L.
    10. NetherlandsPiroe J.
    22. JapanTanaka A.
    Coaches
         EnglandParker S.
    		     GermanyFarke D.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (1 - 0)
    • 18', 1 - 0, Ugochukwu L. ⚽, Walker K. (A),
    • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
    • 52', Anthony J. 🟨,
    • 58', Bruun Larsen J. ↓, Tchaouna L. ↑,
    • 66', Aaronson B. ↓, James D. ↑,
    • 66', Harrison J. ↓, Nmecha L. ↑,
    • 68', 2 - 0, Tchaouna L. ⚽, Florentino (A),
    • 73', Stach A. ↓, Piroe J. ↑,
    • 77', Flemming Z. ↓, Laurent J. ↑,
    • 81', Ampadu E. ↓, Tanaka A. ↑,
    • 83', Ugochukwu L. ↓, Mejbri H. ↑,
    • 83', Anthony J. ↓, Barnes A. ↑,
    • 90+2', Mejbri H. 🟨,
    • 90+2', Struijk P. 🟨,

    Preview

  • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Championship and 15).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 1.
  • Burnley is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
  • Leeds has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
  • Leeds might have a minor edge in this game.
  • There will not play in Burnley: Amdouni Z. (Knee Injury) Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Roberts C. (Groin Injury)
  • There will not play in Leeds: Gray H. (Hip Injury) James D. (Ankle Injury)
  • There are questionable in Burnley: Foster L. (Knock)
  • There are questionable in Leeds: Gnonto W. (Calf Injury) Okafor N. (Muscle Injury)
  • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Burnley won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 0.9:1.2).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Burnley won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1:1.3).

    • Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Burnley FC
    English Premier League
    05.10.25 Aston Villa - Burnley 2:1 ✺
    27.09.25 Manchester City - Burnley 5:1 ✺
    English League Cup
    23.09.25 Burnley - Cardiff City 1:2 ✺
    English Premier League
    20.09.25 Burnley - Nottingham Forest 1:1 ✺
    14.09.25 Burnley - Liverpool 0:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4
    LLLTL
    - Leeds United
    English Premier League
    04.10.25 Leeds United - Tottenham Hotspur 1:2 ✺
    27.09.25 Leeds United - Bournemouth 2:2 ✺
    20.09.25 Wolverhampton Wanderers - Leeds United 1:3 ✺
    13.09.25 Fulham - Leeds United 1:0 ✺
    30.08.25 Leeds United - Newcastle United 0:0 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4
    LTWLT
    Latest Head to Head
    English League Championship
    27.01.25 Burnley - Leeds United 0:0
    14.09.24 Leeds United - Burnley 0:1
    English Premier League
    02.01.22 Leeds United - Burnley 3:1
    29.08.21 Burnley - Leeds United 1:1
    15.05.21 Burnley - Leeds United 0:4
    27.12.20 Leeds United - Burnley 1:0
    English League Cup
    19.09.17 Burnley - Leeds United 2:3 penalties
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Burnley FC
    English League Championship
    13.10.26 Burnley - Charlton Athletic ✺
    10.10.26 Watford - Burnley ✺
    - Leeds United
    English Premier League
    10.10.26 Arsenal - Leeds United ✺

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