Match Info

FA Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Elland Road (Leeds) 🌤️ ...

Referee: England D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	17:30	SuperSport 2
Argentina	13:30	Disney+, ESPN
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	03:30	Stan Sport
Austria	17:30	DAZN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	17:30	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	13:30	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	18:30	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	12:30	Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World
China	00:30	Migu
Croatia	17:30	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	18:30	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	17:30	Nova Sport 5, Oneplay
Denmark	17:30	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Europe	—	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	18:30	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	17:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
Germany	17:30	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	18:30	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong Kong	00:30	M Plus Live, Now Sports 651
Hungary	17:30	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	16:30	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	22:00	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
Indonesia	23:30	Vidio
Israel	18:30	Sport 1
Italy	17:30	DAZN Italia, Discovery+
Japan	01:30	U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	22:30	Sport+
Kenya	19:30	Gotv
Kosovo	17:30	SuperSport 2
Macao	00:30	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	00:30	Astro Football, Astro Go, SKY NET Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	17:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	10:30	HBO Max, TNT Go, TNT Sports
Netherlands	17:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	05:30	beIN Connect, TVWan Sports 2
Nigeria	17:30	Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North Central America	—	RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
Norway	17:30	Viaplay
Peru	11:30	Disney+
Poland	17:30	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app
Romania	18:30	Voyo
Serbia	17:30	Arena Sport 8
Singapore	00:30	Hub Premier 4, HUB Sports 2
Slovakia	17:30	Nova Sport 5, Voyo
Slovenia	17:30	Arena Sport 3
South Africa	18:30	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South Korea	01:30	Coupang Play
Sweden	17:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	17:30	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	19:30	Tabii Spor 1, Tabii
Ukraine	18:30	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United Kingdom	16:30	BBC Radio 5 Live, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	13:30	Disney+
Usa	12:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	21:30	Zor TV
Venezuela	12:30	Disney+
Vietnam	23:30	FPT Play


	Leeds United		Norwich City

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.33	5.25
	1.49	4.6	6.25
	1.58	4.25	5.4
	1.59	4.31	5.51
	1.63	4.26	5.03	Watch
	1.53	4	5
	1.59	4.45	5.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.46)	4.31 ↓ (4.43)	5.44 ↓ (6.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Leeds United
60.6%

Draw
22%

Norwich City
17.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64.5%

21.2%

14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.5%

21.5%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leeds United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Norwich City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Leeds United - Norwich City Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Norwich (2.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Norwich (2.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Leeds United will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Leeds United will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Leeds (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Norwich (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lucas Perri (G) 23. Bornauw S. 15. Bijol J. 4. Ampadu E. (C) 3. Gudmundsson G. 22. Tanaka A. 8. Longstaff S. 7. James D. 10. Piroe J. 29. Gnonto W. 14. Nmecha L.	32. Grimshaw D. (G) 35. Fisher K. 15. McConville R. 33. Cordoba J. 14. Chrisene B. 26. Field S. 23. McLean K. (C) 8. Gibbs L. 25. Maghoma P. 21. Ahmed A. 30. Kvistgaarden M.
Substitutes
11. Aaronson B. 2. Bogle J. 40. Buonanotte F. 25. Byram S. 26. Darlow K. (G) 44. Gruev I. 24. Justin J. 18. Stach A. 5. Struijk P.	6. Darling H. 18. Forson A. 1. Kovacevic V. (G) 5. Medic J. 46. Mundle Smith E. 20. Slimane A. 42. Springett T. 3. Stacey J. 16. Wright J.
Coaches
Farke D.	Clement P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
25', Ahmed A. 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Longstaff S. ⚽, Gudmundsson G. (A),
39', Longstaff S. 🟨,
41', Cordoba J. 🟨,
43', 2 - 0, Gudmundsson G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Grimshaw D. ↓, Kovacevic V. ↑,
46', Bornauw S. ↓, Justin J. ↑,
59', Tanaka A. 🟨,
62', Gibbs L. ↓, Stacey J. ↑,
63', Maghoma P. ↓, Slimane A. ↑,
63', Kvistgaarden M. ↓, Mundle Smith E. ↑,
70', Longstaff S. ↓, Struijk P. ↑,
70', James D. ↓, Bogle J. ↑,
70', Tanaka A. ↓, Stach A. ↑,
82', Ahmed A. ↓, Forson A. ↑,
85', 3 - 0, Piroe J. ⚽, Nmecha L. (A),
87', Gudmundsson G. ↓, Byram S. ↑,
90+3', Fisher K. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leeds won 3.

In recent matches, Leeds has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Norwich is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Leeds may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Leeds is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Leeds: Okafor N. (Injury)

There will not play in Norwich: Amass H. (Injury) Crnac A. (Knee Injury) Diallo P. A. (Injury) Duffy S. (Hamstring Injury) Forsyth G. (Knee Injury) Jurasek M. (Foot Injury) Makama J. (Foot Injury) Mattsson P. (Ankle Injury) Schlupp J. (Hamstring Injury) Schwartau O. (Hamstring Injury) Topic M. (Knee Injury) Toure M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Norwich: Forson A. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Leeds won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 31:20. (average 1.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Leeds won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:11. (average 1.9:1.2).

Outrights of English FA Cup for now

Leeds: 1.84% Norwich: 0.56%

Last Results with these Odds

Leeds United - the odds 1.46 are the expected chance of winning is 64.54%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leeds United
English Premier League
03.03.26	Leeds United - Sunderland	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Leeds United - Manchester City	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Aston Villa - Leeds United	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
15.02.26	Birmingham City - Leeds United	1:2 penalties ✺
English Premier League
10.02.26	Chelsea - Leeds United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LLTWT
- Norwich City
English League Championship
28.02.26	Leicester City - Norwich City	0:2 ✺
25.02.26	Norwich City - Sheffield Wednesday	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Norwich City - Birmingham City	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
14.02.26	Norwich City - West Bromwich Albion	3:1 ✺
English League Championship
10.02.26	Oxford United - Norwich City	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
22.01.25	Leeds United - Norwich City	2:0
01.10.24	Norwich City - Leeds United	1:1
16.05.24	Leeds United - Norwich City	4:0
12.05.24	Norwich City - Leeds United	0:0
24.01.24	Leeds United - Norwich City	1:0
21.10.23	Norwich City - Leeds United	2:3
English Premier League
13.03.22	Leeds United - Norwich City	2:1

Upcoming Matches