Match Info

Championship - Round 37

Date: 11 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Coventry Building Society Arena (Coventry)

Referee: Smith L. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Coventry City		Preston North End

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.5	5.25	Watch
	1.49	4.45	6.41
	1.5	4.68	6.52
	1.45	4.75	6.63	Watch
	1.5	4.2	5.75
	1.55	4.71	5.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.37)	4.55 ↓ (4.8)	6.06 ↓ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Coventry City
63.5%

Draw
20.8%

Preston North End
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.6%

19.2%

13.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.3%

18%

12.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coventry City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Preston North End has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coventry City than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Coventry City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Preston North End than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.5%	10.3%	10.3%

Coventry City - Preston North End Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Coventry (2.28) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

EH -1 - draw (3.62) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Users Predictions: Coventry City will win (31 of 38 users predict this - 81.58%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.25% – 93.91%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Coventry City will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Coventry (votes: 11 - 91.7%). Preston (votes: 1 - 8.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
19. Rushworth C. (G) 27. van Ewijk M. 26. Woolfenden L. 15. Kitching L. 3. Dasilva J. 16. Onyeka F. 6. Grimes M. (C) 7. Sakamoto T. 23. Thomas-Asante B. 10. Mason-Clark E. 9. Simms E.	1. Iversen D. (G) 2. Valentin P. 42. Offiah O. 14. Storey J. 16. Hughes A. 26. Small T. 8. McCann A. 4. Whiteman B. (C) 21. Devine A. 28. Osmajic M. 9. Jebbison D.
Substitutes
8. Allen J. 21. Bidwell J. 28. Eccles J. 14. Esse R. 20. Kesler-Hayden K. 24. Markelo J. 29. Torp V. 13. Wilson B. (G) 11. Wright H.	13. Cornell D. (G) 17. Dobbin L. 6. Lindsay L. 23. Moran A. 34. Nelson K. 44. Potts B. 24. Smith M. 15. Thompson J. 3. Vukcevic A.
Coaches
Lampard F.	Heckingbottom P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Sakamoto T. ⚽,
34', 2 - 0, Thomas-Asante B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Jebbison D. ↓, Dobbin L. ↑,
46', McCann A. ↓, Thompson J. ↑,
50', 3 - 0, Grimes M. (Penalty Awarded),
60', Sakamoto T. ↓, Esse R. ↑,
61', van Ewijk M. ↓, Kesler-Hayden K. ↑,
61', Onyeka F. ↓, Torp V. ↑,
65', Valentin P. ↓, Potts B. ↑,
65', Devine A. ↓, Moran A. ↑,
66', Mason-Clark E. ↓, Eccles J. ↑,
73', Small T. ↓, Vukcevic A. ↑,
79', Thomas-Asante B. ↓, Markelo J. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coventry won 1.

Coventry has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Preston is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Preston may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Coventry is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Coventry: Dovin O. (Knee Injury) Latibeaudiere J. (Red Card)

There will not play in Preston: Iversen D. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Coventry: Brau M. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Preston: Lang C. (Injury)

We predict that Coventry will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Coventry won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:29. (average 1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Coventry won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 1.2:1.8).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Preston: 0.66%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
24	Preston	9	1	1	7	8:16	-8	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Coventry City
English League Championship
07.03.26	Bristol City - Coventry City	0:2 ✺
28.02.26	Coventry City - Stoke City	2:1 ✺
25.02.26	Sheffield United - Coventry City	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	West Bromwich Albion - Coventry City	0:2 ✺
16.02.26	Coventry City - Middlesbrough	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WWWWW
- Preston North End
English League Championship
06.03.26	Preston North End - Oxford United	1:3 ✺
28.02.26	Preston North End - Millwall	0:2 ✺
24.02.26	Swansea City - Preston North End	1:1 ✺
20.02.26	Blackburn Rovers - Preston North End	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Preston North End - Watford	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
09.12.25	Preston North End - Coventry City	1:1
22.02.25	Coventry City - Preston North End	2:1
19.10.24	Preston North End - Coventry City	1:0
23.02.24	Coventry City - Preston North End	0:3
04.11.23	Preston North End - Coventry City	3:2
28.02.23	Preston North End - Coventry City	0:0
31.08.22	Coventry City - Preston North End	0:1

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