Match Info

League Two - Round 8

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: The Broadfield Stadium (Crawley)


	Crawley Town		Barnet

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.9	1.62
	3.85	3.65	1.76
	4.1	4.37	1.68
	4.11	3.95	1.72	Watch
	4.05	3.8	1.69
	4.25	3.88	1.71
	4.1	3.85	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.09 ↓ (4.16)	3.91 ↓ (4.08)	1.69 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crawley Town
22.4%

Draw
23.4%

Barnet
54.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.1%

22.5%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2%

21.6%

57.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crawley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Barnet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Crawley Town - Barnet Predictions

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Barnet (1.65) (votes: 85%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Postponed due to international match.

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 24th in the Relegation ~ National League and 1st in the Promotion ~ League One).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 2.

Crawley has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Barnet shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Barnet could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Crawley has faced a series of away games on the road.

In this matchup, Barnet is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Crawley has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:14 (averaging 1.2:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Crawley against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:5 goals (averaging 1:1.3 per game).

Outrights of English League Two for now

Barnet: 21.27%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Barnet	8	5	3	0	20:11	9	18
24	Crawley	8	1	2	5	8:15	-7	5

Last Results with these Odds

Crawley Town - the odds 4.16 are the expected chance of winning is 22.08%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.

Barnet - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 55.41%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crawley Town
English EFL Trophy
22.09.26	Milton Keynes Dons - Crawley Town	4:1 ✺
English League Two
19.09.26	Grimsby Town - Crawley Town	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Crawley Town - Cheltenham Town	1:3 ✺
05.09.26	Accrington Stanley - Crawley Town	3:2 ✺
01.09.26	Northampton Town - Crawley Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLLT
- Barnet
English League Two
19.09.26	Barnet - Fleetwood Town	3:1 ✺
12.09.26	Barnet - Accrington Stanley	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Chesterfield - Barnet	3:3 ✺
01.09.26	Exeter City - Barnet	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Barnet - Cheltenham Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
17.03.26	Crawley Town - Barnet	1:1
01.01.26	Barnet - Crawley Town	2:1
13.01.18	Crawley Town - Barnet	2:0
23.09.17	Barnet - Crawley Town	1:2
11.03.17	Barnet - Crawley Town	2:2
20.08.16	Crawley Town - Barnet	1:1
07.05.16	Crawley Town - Barnet	0:3

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